Chapecoense at Bahia

Updated

Chapecoense

21.4%22.0%56.6%
Chapecoense WinDrawBahia Win
0.69Projected Goals 1.83
0Final Score 3

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Chapecoense
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Fortaleza+400
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense+305
L 2-5 at Internacional+750
T 2-2 vs Atletico Mineiro+650
T 1-1 vs Sao Paulo+340
Bahia
Money Line
T 0-0 at America (MG)+300
T 0-0 vs Palmeiras+215
W 2-0 at Athletico Paranaense+445
L 1-3 at Corinthians+530
L 0-2 at Internacional+410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+285+575+610+621+603+610+621+651.4
Bahia+100-200-213-210-215-213-200-189.6
Draw+245+330+335+349+326+335+349+371.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chapecoense+450----+595+595+651.4
Bahia-165-----215-215-189.6
Draw+300----+345+345+371.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 30.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chapecoense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chapecoense: 30.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chapecoense: 0.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chapecoense ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2½-110o2½-120o2½-104-o2½-120o2½-104o2½-102
Underu2¼-118u2½-110u2½+100u2½-110-u2½+100u2½+100u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-102
Under-----u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.07%
Exactly 225.57%
Exactly 413.49%
Exactly 62.85%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.32%
Exactly 321.45%
Exactly 56.79%
Exactly 71.02%
Exact Goals Scored - Chapecoense
Exactly 050.10%
Exactly 134.63%
Exactly 211.97%
Exactly 32.76%
Exactly 40.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 016.12%
Exactly 129.42%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 316.33%
Exactly 47.45%
Exactly 52.72%
Exactly 60.83%
Exactly 70.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.19%
Exactly 221.17%
Exactly 42.39%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 38.22%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chapecoense
Exactly 072.61%
Exactly 123.24%
Exactly 23.72%
Exactly 30.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 042.95%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.34%
Exactly 34.32%
Exactly 40.91%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chapecoense
Wins by 2+ goals3.53%
Wins by 3+ goals0.66%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals38.25%
Wins by 3+ goals18.17%
Wins by 4+ goals7.05%
Wins by 5+ goals2.27%
Wins by 6+ goals0.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Chapecoense
Bahia
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Chapecoense
Wins by 1 goal9.92%
Wins by 2 goals2.87%
Wins by 3 goals0.58%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal26.21%
Wins by 2 goals20.08%
Wins by 3 goals11.11%
Wins by 4 goals4.78%
Wins by 5 goals1.68%
Wins by 6 goals0.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.93%8.07%
1.571.61%28.39%
2.546.04%53.96%
3.524.59%75.41%
4.511.10%88.90%
5.54.31%95.69%
6.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Chapecoense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.90%50.10%
1.515.28%84.72%
2.53.31%96.69%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.88%16.12%
1.554.46%45.54%
2.527.61%72.39%
3.511.28%88.72%
4.53.83%96.17%
5.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.81%31.19%
1.532.47%67.53%
2.511.30%88.70%
3.53.08%96.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chapecoense
Bahia
Score012345
0
8.07%
14.74%
13.45%
8.18%
3.73%
1.36%
1
5.58%
10.19%
9.30%
5.66%
2.58%
0.94%
2
1.93%
3.52%
3.21%
1.95%
0.89%
0.33%
3
0.44%
0.81%
0.74%
0.45%
0.21%
0.08%
Chapecoense
1-05.58%
2-01.93%
2-13.52%
3-00.44%
3-10.81%
3-20.74%
Draw
0-08.07%
1-110.19%
2-23.21%
3-30.45%
Bahia
0-114.74%
0-213.45%
1-29.30%
0-38.18%
1-35.66%
2-31.95%
0-43.73%
1-42.58%
2-40.89%
3-40.21%
0-51.36%
1-50.94%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Chapecoense
Bahia
Score012345
0
31.19%
26.36%
11.14%
3.14%
0.66%
0.11%
1
9.98%
8.44%
3.56%
1.00%
0.21%
0.04%
2
1.60%
1.35%
0.57%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.17%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Chapecoense
1-09.98%
2-01.60%
2-11.35%
3-00.17%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-031.19%
1-18.44%
2-20.57%
Bahia
0-126.36%
0-211.14%
1-23.56%
0-33.14%
1-31.00%
2-30.16%
0-40.66%
1-40.21%
0-50.11%