Avaí at Fortaleza

Updated

Avaí

12.8%21.5%65.7%
WinDrawFortaleza Win
0.67Projected Goals 1.86
0Final Score 2

Fortaleza

Last 5 Games

Avaí
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Botafogo RJ
L 2-1 vs Atletico Goianiense
L 0-4 at Sao Paulo
W 0-1 vs Atletico Mineiro
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
Fortaleza
Money Line
T 1-1 at Athletico Paranaense
W 1-0 at Goias
W 2-3 vs Flamengo
T 1-1 at Juventude
L 1-2 at Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí+500+676+625+670+571+670+676+773.1
Fortaleza-160-201-200-203-188-203-188-190.6
Draw+260+311+290+300+293+300+311+335.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Avaí-----+773.1
Fortaleza------190.6
Draw-----+335.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Avaí: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fortaleza: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Avaí: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Avaí: 0.0%
Fortaleza: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Avaí ML
No Steam Moves On Fortaleza ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2½+109o2¼-115o2¼-113-o2¼-113o2¼-113o2-157
Underu2¼-120u2½-129u2¼-105u2¼-107-u2¼-107u2½-129u2+157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-157
Under-----u2+157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.3%
 
No58.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.96%
Exactly 225.49%
Exactly 413.60%
Exactly 62.90%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.15%
Exactly 321.50%
Exactly 56.88%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Avaí
Exactly 051.04%
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 211.54%
Exactly 32.59%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Fortaleza
Exactly 015.60%
Exactly 128.98%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 316.67%
Exactly 47.74%
Exactly 52.88%
Exactly 60.89%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.99%
Exactly 221.27%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Avaí
Exactly 073.24%
Exactly 122.81%
Exactly 23.55%
Exactly 30.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fortaleza
Exactly 042.31%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.65%
Exactly 34.49%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Avaí
Wins by 2+ goals3.27%
Wins by 3+ goals0.60%
Fortaleza
Wins by 2+ goals39.47%
Wins by 3+ goals19.03%
Wins by 4+ goals7.51%
Wins by 5+ goals2.46%
Wins by 6+ goals0.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Avaí
Fortaleza
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Avaí
Wins by 1 goal9.47%
Wins by 2 goals2.67%
Wins by 3 goals0.53%
Fortaleza
Wins by 1 goal26.17%
Wins by 2 goals20.44%
Wins by 3 goals11.53%
Wins by 4 goals5.05%
Wins by 5 goals1.80%
Wins by 6 goals0.54%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.04%7.96%
1.571.89%28.11%
2.546.39%53.61%
3.524.89%75.11%
4.511.29%88.71%
5.54.41%95.59%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Avaí Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.96%51.04%
1.514.63%85.37%
2.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals Fortaleza Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.40%15.60%
1.555.42%44.58%
2.528.49%71.51%
3.511.82%88.18%
4.54.07%95.93%
5.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.01%30.99%
1.532.71%67.29%
2.511.44%88.56%
3.53.14%96.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Avaí
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
7.96%
14.79%
13.74%
8.51%
3.95%
1.47%
1
5.36%
9.95%
9.24%
5.72%
2.66%
0.99%
2
1.80%
3.35%
3.11%
1.92%
0.89%
0.33%
3
0.40%
0.75%
0.70%
0.43%
0.20%
0.07%
Avaí
1-05.36%
2-01.80%
2-13.35%
3-00.40%
3-10.75%
3-20.70%
Draw
0-07.96%
1-19.95%
2-23.11%
3-30.43%
Fortaleza
0-114.79%
0-213.74%
1-29.24%
0-38.51%
1-35.72%
2-31.92%
0-43.95%
1-42.66%
2-40.89%
3-40.20%
0-51.47%
1-50.99%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Avaí
Fortaleza
Score012345
0
30.99%
26.66%
11.46%
3.29%
0.71%
0.12%
1
9.65%
8.30%
3.57%
1.02%
0.22%
0.04%
2
1.50%
1.29%
0.56%
0.16%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Avaí
1-09.65%
2-01.50%
2-11.29%
3-00.16%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-030.99%
1-18.30%
2-20.56%
Fortaleza
0-126.66%
0-211.46%
1-23.57%
0-33.29%
1-31.02%
2-30.16%
0-40.71%
1-40.22%
0-50.12%