Botafogo RJ at Sao Paulo

Updated

Botafogo RJ

19.2%26.0%54.8%
WinDrawSao Paulo Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.52
1Final Score 0

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Botafogo RJ
Money Line
W 2-1 at Avaí
L 3-1 vs Palmeiras
W 1-0 at Goias
W 0-2 vs Coritiba
T 0-0 vs America (MG)
Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 2-1 at America (MG)
W 0-4 vs Avaí
W 2-0 at Ceara
T 1-1 vs Corinthians
T 1-1 at Cuiaba

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Botafogo RJ+390+422+400+425-+425+425+491.6
Sao Paulo-130-138-140-138--138-138-135.4
Draw+240+271+260+257-+257+271+291.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Botafogo RJ-----+491.6
Sao Paulo------135.4
Draw-----+291.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Botafogo RJ: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Botafogo RJ: 10.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Botafogo RJ: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Botafogo RJ ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2½+106o2¼-118o2¼-112-o2¼-112o2¼-112o2½+117
Underu2¼-120u2½-124u2¼-102u2¼-108-u2¼-108u2½-124u2½-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+117
Under-----u2½-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.3%
 
No57.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.06%
Exactly 226.53%
Exactly 411.66%
Exactly 62.05%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.10%
Exactly 320.31%
Exactly 55.36%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Botafogo RJ
Exactly 045.87%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 213.93%
Exactly 33.62%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 021.92%
Exactly 133.27%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 312.77%
Exactly 44.85%
Exactly 51.47%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.52%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 41.84%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Botafogo RJ
Exactly 069.71%
Exactly 125.15%
Exactly 24.54%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 049.52%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 212.23%
Exactly 32.86%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Botafogo RJ
Wins by 2+ goals5.72%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals28.47%
Wins by 3+ goals11.59%
Wins by 4+ goals3.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.98%
Wins by 6+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Botafogo RJ
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Botafogo RJ
Wins by 1 goal13.48%
Wins by 2 goals4.45%
Wins by 3 goals1.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal26.25%
Wins by 2 goals16.88%
Wins by 3 goals7.81%
Wins by 4 goals2.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.81%
Wins by 6 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.94%10.06%
1.566.85%33.15%
2.540.32%59.68%
3.520.00%80.00%
4.58.34%91.66%
5.52.98%97.02%

Total Goals Botafogo RJ Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.13%45.87%
1.518.38%81.62%
2.54.45%95.55%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.08%21.92%
1.544.81%55.19%
2.519.56%80.44%
3.56.79%93.21%
4.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.48%34.52%
1.528.76%71.24%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Botafogo RJ
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
10.06%
15.26%
11.58%
5.86%
2.22%
0.67%
1
7.84%
11.89%
9.03%
4.57%
1.73%
0.53%
2
3.05%
4.63%
3.52%
1.78%
0.68%
0.20%
3
0.79%
1.20%
0.91%
0.46%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.15%
0.23%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Botafogo RJ
1-07.84%
2-03.05%
2-14.63%
3-00.79%
3-11.20%
3-20.91%
4-00.15%
4-10.23%
4-20.18%
Draw
0-010.06%
1-111.89%
2-23.52%
3-30.46%
Sao Paulo
0-115.26%
0-211.58%
1-29.03%
0-35.86%
1-34.57%
2-31.78%
0-42.22%
1-41.73%
2-40.68%
3-40.18%
0-50.67%
1-50.53%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Botafogo RJ
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
34.52%
24.26%
8.52%
2.00%
0.35%
1
12.46%
8.75%
3.08%
0.72%
0.13%
2
2.25%
1.58%
0.55%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.27%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Botafogo RJ
1-012.46%
2-02.25%
2-11.58%
3-00.27%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-034.52%
1-18.75%
2-20.55%
Sao Paulo
0-124.26%
0-28.52%
1-23.08%
0-32.00%
1-30.72%
2-30.13%
0-40.35%
1-40.13%