Sao Paulo at Bahia

Updated

Sao Paulo

34.8%29.8%35.3%
Sao Paulo WinDrawBahia Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 0

Bahia

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Cuiaba
L 0-1 at Fluminense
T 0-0 at Santos
W 0-1 vs Bragantino
W 0-1 vs Cruzeiro
Bahia
Money Line
W 5-1 at Corinthians
T 1-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
L 3-0 vs Cuiaba
L 0-1 at Gremio
W 0-1 vs Fluminense

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+220+246+275+261+261+261+261+279.1
Bahia+140+129+110+122+122+122+129+133.1
Draw+215+218+225+210+210+210+225+225.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo-----+279.1
Bahia-----+133.1
Draw-----+225.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bahia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 30.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 10.0%
Bahia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Bahia ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2-126o2¼+108o2-120o2-120o2-120o2-120o2-109
Underu2¼-105u2+108u2¼-128u2+100u2+100u2+100u2¼-128u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.04%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.07%
Exactly 61.50%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.49%
Exactly 319.04%
Exactly 54.27%
Exactly 70.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 034.87%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.35%
Exactly 36.80%
Exactly 41.79%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Bahia
Exactly 034.53%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.52%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.53%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 41.44%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 061.40%
Exactly 129.95%
Exactly 27.31%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bahia
Exactly 061.12%
Exactly 130.09%
Exactly 27.41%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals13.52%
Wins by 3+ goals3.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Bahia
Wins by 2+ goals13.82%
Wins by 3+ goals4.09%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Bahia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal21.25%
Wins by 2 goals9.55%
Wins by 3 goals3.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Bahia
Wins by 1 goal21.44%
Wins by 2 goals9.73%
Wins by 3 goals3.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.78%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.96%12.04%
1.562.47%37.53%
2.535.49%64.51%
3.516.46%83.54%
4.56.38%93.62%
5.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.13%34.87%
1.528.40%71.60%
2.59.04%90.96%
3.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Bahia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.47%34.53%
1.528.75%71.25%
2.59.23%90.77%
3.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.47%37.53%
1.525.69%74.31%
2.57.67%92.33%
3.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Bahia
Score012345
0
12.04%
12.80%
6.81%
2.41%
0.64%
0.14%
1
12.69%
13.49%
7.17%
2.54%
0.68%
0.14%
2
6.68%
7.11%
3.78%
1.34%
0.36%
0.08%
3
2.35%
2.50%
1.33%
0.47%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.62%
0.66%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-012.69%
2-06.68%
2-17.11%
3-02.35%
3-12.50%
3-21.33%
4-00.62%
4-10.66%
4-20.35%
4-30.12%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-012.04%
1-113.49%
2-23.78%
3-30.47%
Bahia
0-112.80%
0-26.81%
1-27.17%
0-32.41%
1-32.54%
2-31.34%
0-40.64%
1-40.68%
2-40.36%
3-40.13%
0-50.14%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Bahia
Score0123
0
37.53%
18.47%
4.55%
0.75%
1
18.31%
9.01%
2.22%
0.36%
2
4.47%
2.20%
0.54%
0.09%
3
0.73%
0.36%
0.09%
0.01%
Sao Paulo
1-018.31%
2-04.47%
2-12.20%
3-00.73%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-037.53%
1-19.01%
2-20.54%
Bahia
0-118.47%
0-24.55%
1-22.22%
0-30.75%
1-30.36%
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