Vitória at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Vitoria

18.4%25.1%56.5%
WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.78Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 3

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Corinthians
W 0-2 vs Sao Paulo
T 1-1 at Chapecoense
L 0-3 at Cruzeiro
W 0-1 vs Mirassol
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Palmeiras
W 0-2 vs Chapecoense
L 1-2 at Atletico Mineiro
L 0-3 at Bahia
W 1-4 vs Botafogo RJ

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+435--+500+500+500+500+530.1
Athletico Paranaense-140---160-160-160-160-141.5
Draw+257--+273+273+273+273+291.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-----+530.1
Athletico Paranaense------141.5
Draw-----+291.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Vitória: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-104--o2¼-102o2¼-102o2¼-102o2¼-102o2¼+107
Underu2¼-116--u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+107
Under-----u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.35%
Exactly 226.25%
Exactly 412.29%
Exactly 62.30%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.15%
Exactly 320.74%
Exactly 55.83%
Exactly 70.78%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 045.68%
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 214.02%
Exactly 33.66%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 020.46%
Exactly 132.46%
Exactly 225.75%
Exactly 313.62%
Exactly 45.40%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.37%
Exactly 220.10%
Exactly 42.02%
 
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 069.58%
Exactly 125.24%
Exactly 24.58%
Exactly 30.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 047.97%
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 212.94%
Exactly 33.17%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals5.47%
Wins by 3+ goals1.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals30.28%
Wins by 3+ goals12.81%
Wins by 4+ goals4.40%
Wins by 5+ goals1.25%
Wins by 6+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal12.92%
Wins by 2 goals4.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal26.17%
Wins by 2 goals17.46%
Wins by 3 goals8.41%
Wins by 4 goals3.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.96%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.65%9.35%
1.568.50%31.50%
2.542.25%57.75%
3.521.51%78.49%
4.59.22%90.78%
5.53.39%96.61%
6.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.32%45.68%
1.518.53%81.47%
2.54.51%95.49%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.54%20.46%
1.547.08%52.92%
2.521.32%78.68%
3.57.70%92.30%
4.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.63%33.37%
1.530.00%70.00%
2.59.91%90.09%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
9.35%
14.83%
11.77%
6.22%
2.47%
0.78%
1
7.32%
11.62%
9.22%
4.88%
1.93%
0.61%
2
2.87%
4.55%
3.61%
1.91%
0.76%
0.24%
3
0.75%
1.19%
0.94%
0.50%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.15%
0.23%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Vitoria
1-07.32%
2-02.87%
2-14.55%
3-00.75%
3-11.19%
3-20.94%
4-00.15%
4-10.23%
4-20.18%
Draw
0-09.35%
1-111.62%
2-23.61%
3-30.50%
Athletico Paranaense
0-114.83%
0-211.77%
1-29.22%
0-36.22%
1-34.88%
2-31.91%
0-42.47%
1-41.93%
2-40.76%
3-40.20%
0-50.78%
1-50.61%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
33.37%
24.52%
9.01%
2.21%
0.41%
1
12.11%
8.89%
3.27%
0.80%
0.15%
2
2.20%
1.61%
0.59%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.27%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-012.11%
2-02.20%
2-11.61%
3-00.27%
3-10.20%
Draw
0-033.37%
1-18.89%
2-20.59%
Athletico Paranaense
0-124.52%
0-29.01%
1-23.27%
0-32.21%
1-30.80%
2-30.15%
0-40.41%
1-40.15%
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