Athletico Paranaense at Juventude

Updated 18 days ago

09:30 PM • Apr 28, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

43.5%29.6%26.9%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawJuventude Win

1.20Projected Goals 0.88

1Final Score 1

Juventude

Last 5 Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-1	4/21 vs Internacional
L 0-2	4/17 at Gremio
W 0-4	4/14 vs Cuiaba
L 0-3	12/07 at Cuiaba
W 0-3	12/03 vs Santos

Juventude		Money Line
L 1-5	4/21 at Botafogo RJ
W 0-2	4/17 vs Corinthians
T 1-1	4/13 at Criciuma
L 1-4	11/13 at Ceara
T 2-2	11/10 vs Flamengo

Money Line Analysis

:2.8%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+175	-	+155	+172	+168	+172	+172	+185.4
Juventude	+185	-	+200	+192	+193	+192	+200	+206.3
Draw	+195	-	+205	+195	+197	+195	+205	+209.5

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+185.4
Juventude	-	-	-	-	-	+206.3
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+209.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 40.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Juventude: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 30.0%

Juventude: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Juventude: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Juventude: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Juventude ML

Over/Under Analysis

:3.3%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-125	-	o2-110	o2-114	o2-108	o2-114	o2-108	o2-104
Under	u2+105	-	u2-110	u2-106	u2-112	u2-106	u2-106	u2+104

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-104
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	41.0%


No	59.0%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	12.44%
Exactly 2	27.02%
Exactly 4	9.78%
Exactly 6	1.42%
Exactly 8	0.11%


Exactly 1	25.92%
Exactly 3	18.77%
Exactly 5	4.08%
Exactly 7	0.42%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	29.98%
Exactly 1	36.12%
Exactly 2	21.75%
Exactly 3	8.73%
Exactly 4	2.63%
Exactly 5	0.63%
Exactly 6	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Juventude
Exactly 0	41.48%
Exactly 1	36.50%
Exactly 2	16.06%
Exactly 3	4.71%
Exactly 4	1.04%
Exactly 5	0.18%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	38.09%
Exactly 2	17.74%
Exactly 4	1.38%


Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 3	5.71%
Exactly 5	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	57.25%
Exactly 1	31.93%
Exactly 2	8.90%
Exactly 3	1.66%
Exactly 4	0.23%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Juventude
Exactly 0	66.54%
Exactly 1	27.11%
Exactly 2	5.52%
Exactly 3	0.75%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	19.06%
Wins by 3+ goals	6.39%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.36%

Juventude
Wins by 2+ goals	9.02%
Wins by 3+ goals	2.26%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Juventude

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	24.45%
Wins by 2 goals	12.66%
Wins by 3 goals	4.69%
Wins by 4 goals	1.34%
Wins by 5 goals	0.31%

Juventude
Wins by 1 goal	17.86%
Wins by 2 goals	6.76%
Wins by 3 goals	1.83%
Wins by 4 goals	0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.56%	12.44%
1.5	61.64%	38.36%
2.5	34.62%	65.38%
3.5	15.84%	84.16%
4.5	6.06%	93.94%
5.5	1.98%	98.02%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	70.02%	29.98%
1.5	33.90%	66.10%
2.5	12.15%	87.85%
3.5	3.42%	96.58%

Total Goals Juventude Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	58.52%	41.48%
1.5	22.02%	77.98%
2.5	5.96%	94.04%
3.5	1.25%	98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	61.91%	38.09%
1.5	25.14%	74.86%
2.5	7.40%	92.60%
3.5	1.69%	98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Juventude

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.44%	10.94%	4.82%	1.41%	0.31%
1	14.98%	13.18%	5.80%	1.70%	0.37%
2	9.02%	7.94%	3.49%	1.02%	0.23%
3	3.62%	3.19%	1.40%	0.41%	0.09%
4	1.09%	0.96%	0.42%	0.12%	0.03%
5	0.26%	0.23%	0.10%	0.03%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	14.98%
2-0	9.02%
2-1	7.94%
3-0	3.62%
3-1	3.19%
3-2	1.40%
4-0	1.09%
4-1	0.96%
4-2	0.42%
4-3	0.12%
5-0	0.26%
5-1	0.23%
5-2	0.10%

Draw
0-0	12.44%
1-1	13.18%
2-2	3.49%
3-3	0.41%

Juventude
0-1	10.94%
0-2	4.82%
1-2	5.80%
0-3	1.41%
1-3	1.70%
2-3	1.02%
0-4	0.31%
1-4	0.37%
2-4	0.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Juventude

Score	0	1	2	3
0	38.09%	15.52%	3.16%	0.43%
1	21.24%	8.66%	1.76%	0.24%
2	5.92%	2.41%	0.49%	0.07%
3	1.10%	0.45%	0.09%	0.01%
4	0.15%	0.06%	0.01%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	21.24%
2-0	5.92%
2-1	2.41%
3-0	1.10%
3-1	0.45%
4-0	0.15%

Draw
0-0	38.09%
1-1	8.66%
2-2	0.49%

Juventude
0-1	15.52%
0-2	3.16%
1-2	1.76%
0-3	0.43%
1-3	0.24%

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