Gremio at Vasco da Gama

Updated

Gremio

34.3%30.0%35.6%
Gremio WinDrawVasco da Gama Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 2

Vasco da Gama

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
W 3-2 at Fluminense
W 0-1 vs Vasco da Gama
W 1-2 vs Goias
L 0-3 at Atletico Mineiro
L 1-0 vs Corinthians
Vasco da Gama
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Bragantino
L 0-1 at Gremio
L 4-2 vs Corinthians
T 0-0 at Athletico Paranaense
T 2-2 at Cruzeiro

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+210+240+225+262+244+262+262+279.8
Vasco da Gama+130+126+130+115+118+115+126+125.5
Draw+240+230+225+225+229+225+230+240.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio-----+279.8
Vasco da Gama-----+125.5
Draw-----+240.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 30.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 10.0%
Vasco da Gama: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Vasco da Gama ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2½+114o2¼-112o2¼-118o2¼-112o2¼-118o2¼-112o2¼-107
Underu2¼-115u2½-134u2¼-108u2¼-102u2¼-108u2¼-102u2½-134u2¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-107
Under-----u2¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.0%
 
No58.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.36%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 49.84%
Exactly 61.43%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.84%
Exactly 318.82%
Exactly 54.11%
Exactly 70.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 035.60%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.99%
Exactly 36.54%
Exactly 41.69%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 034.73%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.42%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.99%
Exactly 217.79%
Exactly 41.39%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 35.74%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 061.99%
Exactly 129.64%
Exactly 27.09%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vasco da Gama
Exactly 061.28%
Exactly 130.01%
Exactly 27.35%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals13.14%
Wins by 3+ goals3.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 2+ goals13.90%
Wins by 3+ goals4.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.92%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Vasco da Gama
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal21.13%
Wins by 2 goals9.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Vasco da Gama
Wins by 1 goal21.64%
Wins by 2 goals9.80%
Wins by 3 goals3.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.64%12.36%
1.561.79%38.21%
2.534.78%65.22%
3.515.96%84.04%
4.56.12%93.88%
5.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.40%35.60%
1.527.63%72.37%
2.58.64%91.36%
3.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Vasco da Gama Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.27%34.73%
1.528.55%71.45%
2.59.12%90.88%
3.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.01%37.99%
1.525.24%74.76%
2.57.45%92.55%
3.51.71%98.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Vasco da Gama
Score012345
0
12.36%
13.08%
6.92%
2.44%
0.64%
0.14%
1
12.77%
13.50%
7.14%
2.52%
0.67%
0.14%
2
6.59%
6.97%
3.69%
1.30%
0.34%
0.07%
3
2.27%
2.40%
1.27%
0.45%
0.12%
0.03%
4
0.59%
0.62%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Gremio
1-012.77%
2-06.59%
2-16.97%
3-02.27%
3-12.40%
3-21.27%
4-00.59%
4-10.62%
4-20.33%
4-30.12%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-012.36%
1-113.50%
2-23.69%
3-30.45%
Vasco da Gama
0-113.08%
0-26.92%
1-27.14%
0-32.44%
1-32.52%
2-31.30%
0-40.64%
1-40.67%
2-40.34%
3-40.12%
0-50.14%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Vasco da Gama
Score0123
0
37.99%
18.60%
4.56%
0.74%
1
18.17%
8.90%
2.18%
0.36%
2
4.34%
2.13%
0.52%
0.09%
3
0.69%
0.34%
0.08%
0.01%
Gremio
1-018.17%
2-04.34%
2-12.13%
3-00.69%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-037.99%
1-18.90%
2-20.52%
Vasco da Gama
0-118.60%
0-24.56%
1-22.18%
0-30.74%
1-30.36%