Milan at Liverpool

Updated

Milan

21.9%18.7%59.5%
Milan WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.80Projected Goals 2.18
2Final Score 3

Liverpool

Last Games

Milan
Money Line
Liverpool
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Real Madrid+310
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+170
W 0-2 vs RB Leipzig+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+450+500+575+592+572+550+592-
Liverpool-185-195-200-202-214-195-195-
Draw+350+360+355+371+335+355+371-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Milan+425-+550-+500+575+575-
Liverpool-220--205--270-220-205-
Draw+300-+340-+325+365+365-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +628 to +563
Liverpool ML moved from -195 to -201

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Milan: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Milan: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Milan ML moved from +560 to +550
Liverpool ML moved from -199 to -205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o2¾-118o3+105o2¾-115-o3+105o2¾-115-
Underu3-120u2¾-102u3-125u2¾+105-u3-125u3-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3+110o3+110-o3+100o3+110o3+110-
Underu3-120u3-130u3-130-u3-130u3-130u3-130-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+114 to o3-108
The Under moved from u3-110 to u3-135

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.10%
Exactly 222.58%
Exactly 416.67%
Exactly 64.92%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.18%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.92%
Exactly 72.09%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 044.94%
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 214.37%
Exactly 33.83%
Exactly 40.77%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 011.35%
Exactly 124.69%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 319.49%
Exactly 410.61%
Exactly 54.62%
Exactly 61.67%
Exactly 70.52%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.21%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 310.99%
Exactly 51.04%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 069.05%
Exactly 125.57%
Exactly 24.73%
Exactly 30.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 036.51%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.53%
Exactly 36.23%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Milan
Wins by 2+ goals3.60%
Wins by 3+ goals0.79%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals44.85%
Wins by 3+ goals24.06%
Wins by 4+ goals10.75%
Wins by 5+ goals4.06%
Wins by 6+ goals1.31%
Wins by 7+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Milan
Liverpool
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Milan
Wins by 1 goal8.82%
Wins by 2 goals2.81%
Wins by 3 goals0.66%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal24.00%
Wins by 2 goals20.80%
Wins by 3 goals13.30%
Wins by 4 goals6.69%
Wins by 5 goals2.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.96%
Wins by 7 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.90%5.10%
1.579.73%20.27%
2.557.14%42.86%
3.534.74%65.26%
4.518.07%81.93%
5.58.15%91.85%
6.53.23%96.77%
7.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.06%44.94%
1.519.11%80.89%
2.54.74%95.26%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.65%11.35%
1.563.96%36.04%
2.537.09%62.91%
3.517.60%82.40%
4.57.00%93.00%
5.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.79%25.21%
1.540.05%59.95%
2.516.12%83.88%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Milan
Liverpool
Score012345
0
5.10%
11.10%
12.08%
8.76%
4.77%
2.07%
1
4.08%
8.88%
9.66%
7.01%
3.81%
1.66%
2
1.63%
3.55%
3.86%
2.80%
1.52%
0.66%
3
0.43%
0.95%
1.03%
0.75%
0.41%
0.18%
Milan
1-04.08%
2-01.63%
2-13.55%
3-00.43%
3-10.95%
3-21.03%
Draw
0-05.10%
1-18.88%
2-23.86%
3-30.75%
Liverpool
0-111.10%
0-212.08%
1-29.66%
0-38.76%
1-37.01%
2-32.80%
0-44.77%
1-43.81%
2-41.52%
3-40.41%
0-52.07%
1-51.66%
2-50.66%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Milan
Liverpool
Score012345
0
25.21%
25.40%
12.80%
4.30%
1.08%
0.22%
1
9.34%
9.41%
4.74%
1.59%
0.40%
0.08%
2
1.73%
1.74%
0.88%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.21%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Milan
1-09.34%
2-01.73%
2-11.74%
3-00.21%
3-10.21%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-025.21%
1-19.41%
2-20.88%
Liverpool
0-125.40%
0-212.80%
1-24.74%
0-34.30%
1-31.59%
2-30.29%
0-41.08%
1-40.40%
0-50.22%