Napoli at Manchester City

Updated

Napoli

19.9%22.5%57.6%
WinDrawManchester City Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.85
0Final Score 2

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
L 1-3 at Barcelona+335
T 1-1 vs Barcelona+180
W 0-2 vs Braga-188
L 2-4 at Real Madrid+345
T 1-1 vs Union Berlin-240
Manchester City
Money Line
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+275
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+100
W 1-3 vs Club Brugge-460
L 2-4 at Paris Saint-Germain+175
L 0-2 at Juventus-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+397+458+450+465+462+465+465+484.8
Manchester City-150-162-172-167-176-167-167-152.7
Draw+318+312+315+330+317+330+330+345.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+400-+470+400+360+465+470+484.8
Manchester City-150--173-180-175-170-170-152.7
Draw+300-+320+280+265+310+320+345.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +460 to +450
Manchester City ML moved from -162 to -169

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +412 to +400
Manchester City ML moved from -160 to -170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-141o3+106o2¾-125o3+103o2¾-133o3+103o2¾-125o3+112
Underu2½+120u3-124u2¾+105u3-123u2¾+109u3-123u3-123u3-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-150o2½-150o2½-145o2½-140o3+105o2½-140o3+112
Underu2½+120u2½+130u2½+130u2½+125u2½+110u3-125u3-125u3-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.81%
Exactly 223.52%
Exactly 415.88%
Exactly 64.29%
Exactly 80.62%
 
Exactly 116.53%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 59.04%
Exactly 71.74%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 037.12%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.23%
Exactly 36.02%
Exactly 41.49%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 015.65%
Exactly 129.02%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 316.64%
Exactly 47.72%
Exactly 52.86%
Exactly 60.89%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.78%
Exactly 223.25%
Exactly 43.36%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 310.21%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 063.20%
Exactly 129.00%
Exactly 26.65%
Exactly 31.02%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 042.36%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.62%
Exactly 34.47%
Exactly 40.96%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals6.87%
Wins by 3+ goals1.82%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals33.33%
Wins by 3+ goals15.62%
Wins by 4+ goals6.03%
Wins by 5+ goals1.93%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal12.94%
Wins by 2 goals5.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.22%
Wins by 2 goals17.71%
Wins by 3 goals9.60%
Wins by 4 goals4.09%
Wins by 5 goals1.43%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.19%5.81%
1.577.66%22.34%
2.554.14%45.86%
3.531.83%68.17%
4.515.96%84.04%
5.56.92%93.08%
6.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.88%37.12%
1.526.09%73.91%
2.57.87%92.13%
3.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.35%15.65%
1.555.33%44.67%
2.528.41%71.59%
3.511.77%88.23%
4.54.05%95.95%
5.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.22%26.78%
1.537.94%62.06%
2.514.70%85.30%
3.54.49%95.51%
4.51.12%98.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Manchester City
Score012345
0
5.81%
10.77%
9.99%
6.18%
2.87%
1.06%
1
5.76%
10.68%
9.90%
6.12%
2.84%
1.05%
2
2.85%
5.29%
4.91%
3.03%
1.41%
0.52%
3
0.94%
1.75%
1.62%
1.00%
0.46%
0.17%
4
0.23%
0.43%
0.40%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
Napoli
1-05.76%
2-02.85%
2-15.29%
3-00.94%
3-11.75%
3-21.62%
4-00.23%
4-10.43%
4-20.40%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-05.81%
1-110.68%
2-24.91%
3-31.00%
4-40.12%
Manchester City
0-110.77%
0-29.99%
1-29.90%
0-36.18%
1-36.12%
2-33.03%
0-42.87%
1-42.84%
2-41.41%
3-40.46%
0-51.06%
1-51.05%
2-50.52%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Manchester City
Score012345
0
26.78%
23.00%
9.88%
2.83%
0.61%
0.10%
1
12.29%
10.55%
4.53%
1.30%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.82%
2.42%
1.04%
0.30%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.43%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Napoli
1-012.29%
2-02.82%
2-12.42%
3-00.43%
3-10.37%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-026.78%
1-110.55%
2-21.04%
Manchester City
0-123.00%
0-29.88%
1-24.53%
0-32.83%
1-31.30%
2-30.30%
0-40.61%
1-40.28%
0-50.10%