Napoli at Real Madrid

Updated

Napoli

14.0%19.5%66.5%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.12
2Final Score 4

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Napoli
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Union Berlin-240
W 1-0 at Union Berlin+118
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+165
W 2-1 at Braga-145
T 1-1 vs Milan+100
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Braga-450
W 2-1 at Braga-265
W 3-2 at Napoli+158
W 0-1 vs Union Berlin-265
L 0-4 at Manchester City+430

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+367+334+320+330+337+337+344+352.3
Real Madrid-138-130-135-128-130-130-130-120.3
Draw+306+311+320+315+315+315+320+329.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Napoli+285-+345-+285+330+345+352.3
Real Madrid-140--140--140-135-135-120.3
Draw+270-+320-+270+310+320+329.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +324 to +313
Real Madrid ML moved from -118 to -125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Napoli: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Napoli: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Napoli ML moved from +310 to +300
Real Madrid ML moved from -133 to -140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+112o3-105o3+100o3+100o3+100o3+100o3+100o3+109
Underu3-132u3-111u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-111u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+100o3+100-o3-115o3+100o3+100o3+109
Underu3-140u3-120u3-120-u3-115u3-120u3-115u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.08%
Exactly 222.56%
Exactly 416.69%
Exactly 64.94%
Exactly 80.78%
 
Exactly 115.14%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.94%
Exactly 72.10%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 042.49%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.56%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 011.96%
Exactly 125.40%
Exactly 226.97%
Exactly 319.09%
Exactly 410.13%
Exactly 54.30%
Exactly 61.52%
Exactly 70.46%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.17%
Exactly 223.95%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.72%
Exactly 311.01%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 067.28%
Exactly 126.66%
Exactly 25.28%
Exactly 30.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 037.41%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.08%
Exactly 35.93%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals4.27%
Wins by 3+ goals0.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals42.44%
Wins by 3+ goals22.26%
Wins by 4+ goals9.72%
Wins by 5+ goals3.59%
Wins by 6+ goals1.13%
Wins by 7+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Napoli
Real Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal9.70%
Wins by 2 goals3.28%
Wins by 3 goals0.82%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.06%
Wins by 2 goals20.19%
Wins by 3 goals12.54%
Wins by 4 goals6.13%
Wins by 5 goals2.46%
Wins by 6 goals0.83%
Wins by 7 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.92%5.08%
1.579.78%20.22%
2.557.22%42.78%
3.534.82%65.18%
4.518.13%81.87%
5.58.19%91.81%
6.53.25%96.75%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.51%42.49%
1.521.14%78.86%
2.55.58%94.42%
3.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.04%11.96%
1.562.64%37.36%
2.535.67%64.33%
3.516.58%83.42%
4.56.45%93.55%
5.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.83%25.17%
1.540.11%59.89%
2.516.16%83.84%
3.55.14%94.86%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Napoli
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
5.08%
10.79%
11.46%
8.11%
4.31%
1.83%
1
4.35%
9.24%
9.81%
6.94%
3.69%
1.57%
2
1.86%
3.95%
4.20%
2.97%
1.58%
0.67%
3
0.53%
1.13%
1.20%
0.85%
0.45%
0.19%
4
0.11%
0.24%
0.26%
0.18%
0.10%
0.04%
Napoli
1-04.35%
2-01.86%
2-13.95%
3-00.53%
3-11.13%
3-21.20%
4-00.11%
4-10.24%
4-20.26%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.08%
1-19.24%
2-24.20%
3-30.85%
Real Madrid
0-110.79%
0-211.46%
1-29.81%
0-38.11%
1-36.94%
2-32.97%
0-44.31%
1-43.69%
2-41.58%
3-40.45%
0-51.83%
1-51.57%
2-50.67%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Napoli
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
25.17%
24.75%
12.17%
3.99%
0.98%
0.19%
1
9.97%
9.81%
4.82%
1.58%
0.39%
0.08%
2
1.98%
1.94%
0.96%
0.31%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.26%
0.26%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Napoli
1-09.97%
2-01.98%
2-11.94%
3-00.26%
3-10.26%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-025.17%
1-19.81%
2-20.96%
Real Madrid
0-124.75%
0-212.17%
1-24.82%
0-33.99%
1-31.58%
2-30.31%
0-40.98%
1-40.39%
0-50.19%