Braga at Napoli

Updated

Braga

11.5%17.2%71.3%
WinDrawNapoli Win
0.83Projected Goals 2.34
0Final Score 2

Napoli

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Union Berlin+105
L 0-3 at Real Madrid+1025
L 2-1 vs Real Madrid+650
W 3-2 at Union Berlin+285
L 2-1 vs Napoli+380
Napoli
Money Line
L 2-4 at Real Madrid+345
T 1-1 vs Union Berlin-240
W 1-0 at Union Berlin+118
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+165
W 2-1 at Braga-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+610+441-+485+445+485+485+505.0
Napoli-236-181--188-183-188-181-171.1
Draw+383+374-+375+387+375+387+391.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+535-+440-+495+490+495+505.0
Napoli-215--188--250-205-188-171.1
Draw+375-+380-+335+380+380+391.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Napoli: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 20.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +485 to +475
Napoli ML moved from -200 to -208

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Napoli: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 30.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +460 to +440
No Steam Moves On Napoli ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+101o3½+106-o3¼-118o3¼-115o3¼-118o3¼-115o3¼-107
Underu3-121u3½-124-u3¼-102u3¼-101u3¼-102u3½-124u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3½+105o3½+110-o3-145o3½+115o3-145o3¼-107
Underu3-120u3½-125u3½-130-u3+115u3½-135u3½-125u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.22%
Exactly 221.13%
Exactly 417.66%
Exactly 65.90%
Exactly 81.06%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.35%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 511.18%
Exactly 72.67%
Exactly 90.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 043.87%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 214.89%
Exactly 34.09%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 09.61%
Exactly 122.51%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 412.05%
Exactly 55.65%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 70.74%
Exactly 80.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.09%
Exactly 224.81%
Exactly 44.44%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.84%
Exactly 312.12%
Exactly 51.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 068.28%
Exactly 126.05%
Exactly 24.97%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 033.81%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.88%
Exactly 37.19%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals3.35%
Wins by 3+ goals0.75%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals48.22%
Wins by 3+ goals27.17%
Wins by 4+ goals12.84%
Wins by 5+ goals5.15%
Wins by 6+ goals1.76%
Wins by 7+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Napoli
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Braga
Wins by 1 goal8.10%
Wins by 2 goals2.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.62%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal23.01%
Wins by 2 goals21.05%
Wins by 3 goals14.32%
Wins by 4 goals7.69%
Wins by 5 goals3.39%
Wins by 6 goals1.27%
Wins by 7 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.78%4.22%
1.582.43%17.57%
2.561.30%38.70%
3.539.00%61.00%
4.521.34%78.66%
5.510.16%89.84%
6.54.26%95.74%
7.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.13%43.87%
1.519.99%80.01%
2.55.09%94.91%
3.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.39%9.61%
1.567.88%32.12%
2.541.51%58.49%
3.520.93%79.07%
4.58.88%91.12%
5.53.23%96.77%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.91%23.09%
1.543.07%56.93%
2.518.27%81.73%
3.56.14%93.86%
4.51.70%98.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Napoli
Score012345
0
4.22%
9.88%
11.57%
9.03%
5.29%
2.48%
1
3.47%
8.14%
9.53%
7.44%
4.36%
2.04%
2
1.43%
3.35%
3.93%
3.07%
1.79%
0.84%
3
0.39%
0.92%
1.08%
0.84%
0.49%
0.23%
Braga
1-03.47%
2-01.43%
2-13.35%
3-00.39%
3-10.92%
3-21.08%
Draw
0-04.22%
1-18.14%
2-23.93%
3-30.84%
4-40.10%
Napoli
0-19.88%
0-211.57%
1-29.53%
0-39.03%
1-37.44%
2-33.07%
0-45.29%
1-44.36%
2-41.79%
3-40.49%
0-52.48%
1-52.04%
2-50.84%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Napoli
Score012345
0
23.09%
25.04%
13.57%
4.91%
1.33%
0.29%
1
8.81%
9.55%
5.18%
1.87%
0.51%
0.11%
2
1.68%
1.82%
0.99%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.21%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-08.81%
2-01.68%
2-11.82%
3-00.21%
3-10.23%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-023.09%
1-19.55%
2-20.99%
Napoli
0-125.04%
0-213.57%
1-25.18%
0-34.91%
1-31.87%
2-30.36%
0-41.33%
1-40.51%
0-50.29%
1-50.11%