Sporting CP at Ajax

Updated

Sporting CP

13.6%11.2%75.2%
WinDrawAjax Win
0.50Projected Goals 2.76
2Final Score 4

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Sporting CP
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Dortmund+130
W 0-4 vs Besiktas-250
W 4-1 at Besiktas+130
L 0-1 at Dortmund+650
L 5-1 vs Ajax+245
Ajax
Money Line
W 2-1 at Besiktas-247
W 3-1 at Dortmund+130
W 0-4 vs Dortmund+118
W 0-2 vs Besiktas-950
W 5-1 at Sporting CP+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP+450+1000+1050+1072+1060+1050+1072+1186.5
Ajax-185-475-435-421-503-435-421-370.8
Draw+340+625+625+632+616+625+632+642.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP+420-+1100--+975+1100+1186.5
Ajax-230--445---415-415-370.8
Draw+320-+555--+550+555+642.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from +932 to +926
Ajax ML moved from -482 to -503

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 20.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from +938 to +822
Ajax ML moved from -435 to -445

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3¾-115o3¾-112o3½-134-o3¾-112o3½-134o3¾-102
Underu3-115u3¾-105u3¾-108u3½+119-u3¾-108u3¾-105u3¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3½-130o3½-135-o3½-135o3½-130o3½-130o3¾-102
Underu3-115u3½+110u3½+115-u3½+105u3½+110u3½+115u3¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-110 to o3½-135
The Under moved from u3½+115 to u3½-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.7%
 
No63.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.84%
Exactly 220.39%
Exactly 418.07%
Exactly 66.41%
Exactly 81.22%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.51%
Exactly 322.17%
Exactly 511.78%
Exactly 72.98%
Exactly 90.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 060.79%
Exactly 130.26%
Exactly 27.53%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 06.31%
Exactly 117.43%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 415.32%
Exactly 58.47%
Exactly 63.90%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 80.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.09%
Exactly 225.18%
Exactly 44.78%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.36%
Exactly 312.67%
Exactly 51.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 079.42%
Exactly 118.30%
Exactly 22.11%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 027.82%
Exactly 135.59%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 39.71%
Exactly 43.11%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals0.85%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals64.53%
Wins by 3+ goals41.91%
Wins by 4+ goals23.10%
Wins by 5+ goals10.91%
Wins by 6+ goals4.46%
Wins by 7+ goals1.58%
Wins by 8+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Sporting CP
Ajax
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal3.56%
Wins by 2 goals0.73%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.76%
Wins by 2 goals22.62%
Wins by 3 goals18.81%
Wins by 4 goals12.19%
Wins by 5 goals6.45%
Wins by 6 goals2.88%
Wins by 7 goals1.11%
Wins by 8 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.16%3.84%
1.583.66%16.34%
2.563.27%36.73%
3.541.10%58.90%
4.523.03%76.97%
5.511.25%88.75%
6.54.84%95.16%
7.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.21%60.79%
1.58.95%91.05%
2.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.69%6.31%
1.576.26%23.74%
2.552.17%47.83%
3.529.99%70.01%
4.514.66%85.34%
5.56.19%93.81%
6.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.91%22.09%
1.544.55%55.45%
2.519.36%80.64%
3.56.69%93.31%
4.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sporting CP
Ajax
Score012345
0
3.84%
10.60%
14.64%
13.49%
9.32%
5.15%
1
1.91%
5.28%
7.29%
6.71%
4.64%
2.56%
2
0.48%
1.31%
1.81%
1.67%
1.15%
0.64%
Sporting CP
1-01.91%
2-00.48%
2-11.31%
Draw
0-03.84%
1-15.28%
2-21.81%
3-30.28%
Ajax
0-110.60%
0-214.64%
1-27.29%
0-313.49%
1-36.71%
2-31.67%
0-49.32%
1-44.64%
2-41.15%
3-40.19%
0-55.15%
1-52.56%
2-50.64%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Sporting CP
Ajax
Score0123456
0
22.09%
28.27%
18.08%
7.71%
2.47%
0.63%
0.13%
1
5.09%
6.51%
4.17%
1.78%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
2
0.59%
0.75%
0.48%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Sporting CP
1-05.09%
2-00.59%
2-10.75%
Draw
0-022.09%
1-16.51%
2-20.48%
Ajax
0-128.27%
0-218.08%
1-24.17%
0-37.71%
1-31.78%
2-30.20%
0-42.47%
1-40.57%
0-50.63%
1-50.15%
0-60.13%