Real Madrid at Benfica

Updated

Real Madrid

48.7%25.6%25.7%
Real Madrid WinDrawBenfica Win
1.54Projected Goals 1.04
2Final Score 4

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-6 vs Monaco-350
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+240
W 4-3 at Olympiacos-165
L 0-1 at Liverpool+180
W 0-1 vs Juventus-230
Benfica
Money Line
L 0-2 at Juventus+427
W 0-2 vs Napoli+178
W 2-0 at Ajax+100
L 1-0 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen-110
L 0-3 at Newcastle United+420

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-139-137-135-140-150-142-135-129.1
Benfica+310+350+320+338+345+345+350+363.4
Draw+0+310+315+335+335+335+335+353.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-145--139-140-150-145-139-129.1
Benfica+335-+318+300+295+335+335+363.4
Draw+335-+330+300+310+335+335+353.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -140 to -150
Benfica ML moved from +350 to +340

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -130 to -139
Benfica ML moved from +317 to +300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3¼-102o3¼-102o3¼-104o3¼-104o3¼-104o3¼-102o3¼+105
Underu3+102u3¼-108u3¼-118u3¼-116u3¼-116u3¼-116u3¼-108u3¼-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-125o3-125o3-125o3-130o3-125o3-125o3¼+105
Underu3+100u3+105u3+105u3+105u3+100u3+105u3+105u3¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.8%
 
No49.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.59%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 413.98%
Exactly 63.10%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.57%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.21%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 021.51%
Exactly 133.05%
Exactly 225.40%
Exactly 313.01%
Exactly 45.00%
Exactly 51.54%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 035.29%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.31%
Exactly 221.60%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 049.09%
Exactly 134.93%
Exactly 212.43%
Exactly 32.95%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 061.74%
Exactly 129.77%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals24.79%
Wins by 3+ goals9.98%
Wins by 4+ goals3.23%
Wins by 5+ goals0.83%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals9.46%
Wins by 3+ goals2.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Benfica
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals14.81%
Wins by 3 goals6.75%
Wins by 4 goals2.40%
Wins by 5 goals0.69%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal16.16%
Wins by 2 goals6.80%
Wins by 3 goals2.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.41%7.59%
1.572.84%27.16%
2.547.61%52.39%
3.525.93%74.07%
4.511.95%88.05%
5.54.75%95.25%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.49%21.51%
1.545.44%54.56%
2.520.04%79.96%
3.57.03%92.97%
4.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.71%35.29%
1.527.96%72.04%
2.58.81%91.19%
3.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.69%30.31%
1.533.51%66.49%
2.511.92%88.08%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Benfica
Score01234
0
7.59%
7.91%
4.12%
1.43%
0.37%
1
11.66%
12.15%
6.33%
2.20%
0.57%
2
8.96%
9.34%
4.86%
1.69%
0.44%
3
4.59%
4.78%
2.49%
0.86%
0.23%
4
1.76%
1.84%
0.96%
0.33%
0.09%
5
0.54%
0.56%
0.29%
0.10%
0.03%
Real Madrid
1-011.66%
2-08.96%
2-19.34%
3-04.59%
3-14.78%
3-22.49%
4-01.76%
4-11.84%
4-20.96%
4-30.33%
5-00.54%
5-10.56%
5-20.29%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.59%
1-112.15%
2-24.86%
3-30.86%
Benfica
0-17.91%
0-24.12%
1-26.33%
0-31.43%
1-32.20%
2-31.69%
0-40.37%
1-40.57%
2-40.44%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Benfica
Score0123
0
30.31%
14.62%
3.52%
0.57%
1
21.56%
10.40%
2.51%
0.40%
2
7.67%
3.70%
0.89%
0.14%
3
1.82%
0.88%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.32%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-021.56%
2-07.67%
2-13.70%
3-01.82%
3-10.88%
3-20.21%
4-00.32%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-030.31%
1-110.40%
2-20.89%
Benfica
0-114.62%
0-23.52%
1-22.51%
0-30.57%
1-30.40%
2-30.14%