Atalanta at Villarreal

Updated

Atalanta

34.9%25.0%40.1%
Atalanta WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.52
2Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last Games

Atalanta
Money Line
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+215
Villarreal
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+150+195+210+218+188+210+218-
Villarreal+165+145+135+143+141+135+145-
Draw+275+230+248+238+236+248+248-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+135-+202-+160+200+202-
Villarreal+140-+135-+130+140+140-
Draw+250-+238-+225+235+238-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +198 to +188
Villarreal ML moved from +155 to +139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +190 to +180
Villarreal ML moved from +150 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o2½-112o2½-122o2½-104-o2½-122o2½-104-
Underu3-115u2½-108u2½+102u2½-106-u2½+102u2½+102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o2½-125o2½-115-o2½-115o2½-125o2½-115-
Underu3-120u2½+105u2½-105-u2½-115u2½+105u2½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-118 to o2½+100
The Under moved from u2¾-114 to u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-140 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.2%
 
No42.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.88%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 415.80%
Exactly 64.23%
Exactly 80.61%
 
Exactly 116.65%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.96%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 026.75%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 223.26%
Exactly 310.22%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 021.97%
Exactly 133.30%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 312.74%
Exactly 44.83%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.92%
Exactly 223.18%
Exactly 43.33%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 310.14%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 054.30%
Exactly 133.16%
Exactly 210.12%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 049.58%
Exactly 134.79%
Exactly 212.20%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals14.49%
Wins by 3+ goals5.01%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals20.53%
Wins by 3+ goals8.00%
Wins by 4+ goals2.51%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal18.55%
Wins by 2 goals9.49%
Wins by 3 goals3.62%
Wins by 4 goals1.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal21.31%
Wins by 2 goals12.53%
Wins by 3 goals5.49%
Wins by 4 goals1.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.12%5.88%
1.577.47%22.53%
2.553.87%46.13%
3.531.57%68.43%
4.515.77%84.23%
5.56.81%93.19%
6.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.25%26.75%
1.537.98%62.02%
2.514.72%85.28%
3.54.50%95.50%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.03%21.97%
1.544.73%55.27%
2.519.51%80.49%
3.56.76%93.24%
4.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.08%26.92%
1.537.75%62.25%
2.514.57%85.43%
3.54.43%95.57%
4.51.11%98.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Villarreal
Score012345
0
5.88%
8.90%
6.75%
3.41%
1.29%
0.39%
1
7.75%
11.74%
8.90%
4.50%
1.70%
0.52%
2
5.11%
7.74%
5.87%
2.96%
1.12%
0.34%
3
2.25%
3.40%
2.58%
1.30%
0.49%
0.15%
4
0.74%
1.12%
0.85%
0.43%
0.16%
0.05%
5
0.20%
0.30%
0.22%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Atalanta
1-07.75%
2-05.11%
2-17.74%
3-02.25%
3-13.40%
3-22.58%
4-00.74%
4-11.12%
4-20.85%
4-30.43%
5-00.20%
5-10.30%
5-20.22%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-05.88%
1-111.74%
2-25.87%
3-31.30%
4-40.16%
Villarreal
0-18.90%
0-26.75%
1-28.90%
0-33.41%
1-34.50%
2-32.96%
0-41.29%
1-41.70%
2-41.12%
3-40.49%
0-50.39%
1-50.52%
2-50.34%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Villarreal
Score01234
0
26.92%
18.89%
6.63%
1.55%
0.27%
1
16.44%
11.53%
4.05%
0.95%
0.17%
2
5.02%
3.52%
1.24%
0.29%
0.05%
3
1.02%
0.72%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
4
0.16%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-016.44%
2-05.02%
2-13.52%
3-01.02%
3-10.72%
3-20.25%
4-00.16%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-026.92%
1-111.53%
2-21.24%
Villarreal
0-118.89%
0-26.63%
1-24.05%
0-31.55%
1-30.95%
2-30.29%
0-40.27%
1-40.17%