Barcelona at Chelsea

Updated

Barcelona

35.5%28.5%36.1%
Barcelona WinDrawChelsea Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.15
0Final Score 3

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Barcelona
Money Line
T 3-3 at Club Brugge-194
W 1-6 vs Olympiacos-412
L 2-1 vs Paris Saint-Germain-145
W 2-1 at Newcastle United+175
L 3-4 at Inter+159
Chelsea
Money Line
T 2-2 at Qarabag-315
W 1-5 vs Ajax-300
W 0-1 vs Benfica-146
L 1-3 at Bayern Munich+350
L 2-0 vs Real Madrid+700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+179-+205+200+200+200+205+210.7
Chelsea+124-+115+122+122+122+122+129.9
Draw+290-+285+297+297+297+297+311.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+183-+203+190+190+205+205+210.7
Chelsea+128-+123+115+110+115+123+129.9
Draw+292-+280+260+270+290+290+311.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 30.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +208 to +200
Chelsea ML moved from +125 to +118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 30.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +215 to +205
Chelsea ML moved from +120 to +110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+101-o3¼-102o3¼-110o3¼-110o3¼-110o3¼-102o3¼+100
Underu3½-121-u3¼-118u3¼-110u3¼-110u3¼-110u3¼-110u3¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+100o3-140o3-140o3½+110o3-140o3-140o3-140o3¼+100
Underu3½-120u3+120u3+120u3½-130u3+110u3+120u3½-130u3¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-123 to o3-147
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.4%
 
No53.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.15%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.58%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.22%
Exactly 320.25%
Exactly 55.30%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 032.06%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.74%
Exactly 37.86%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 031.67%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 38.02%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.68%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 059.06%
Exactly 131.10%
Exactly 28.19%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 058.72%
Exactly 131.26%
Exactly 28.32%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals14.41%
Wins by 3+ goals4.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals14.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.73%
Wins by 4+ goals1.19%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Barcelona
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal20.94%
Wins by 2 goals9.94%
Wins by 3 goals3.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.89%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal21.17%
Wins by 2 goals10.16%
Wins by 3 goals3.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.85%10.15%
1.566.62%33.38%
2.540.06%59.94%
3.519.81%80.19%
4.58.23%91.77%
5.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.94%32.06%
1.531.47%68.53%
2.510.72%89.28%
3.52.86%97.14%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.33%31.67%
1.531.92%68.08%
2.510.98%89.02%
3.52.96%97.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.32%34.68%
1.528.59%71.41%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barcelona
Chelsea
Score012345
0
10.15%
11.68%
6.71%
2.57%
0.74%
0.17%
1
11.55%
13.28%
7.64%
2.93%
0.84%
0.19%
2
6.57%
7.55%
4.34%
1.66%
0.48%
0.11%
3
2.49%
2.86%
1.65%
0.63%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.71%
0.81%
0.47%
0.18%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.16%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Barcelona
1-011.55%
2-06.57%
2-17.55%
3-02.49%
3-12.86%
3-21.65%
4-00.71%
4-10.81%
4-20.47%
4-30.18%
5-00.16%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.15%
1-113.28%
2-24.34%
3-30.63%
Chelsea
0-111.68%
0-26.71%
1-27.64%
0-32.57%
1-32.93%
2-31.66%
0-40.74%
1-40.84%
2-40.48%
3-40.18%
0-50.17%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Barcelona
Chelsea
Score01234
0
34.68%
18.46%
4.91%
0.87%
0.12%
1
18.26%
9.72%
2.59%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.81%
2.56%
0.68%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.84%
0.45%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Barcelona
1-018.26%
2-04.81%
2-12.56%
3-00.84%
3-10.45%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-034.68%
1-19.72%
2-20.68%
Chelsea
0-118.46%
0-24.91%
1-22.59%
0-30.87%
1-30.46%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%