Galatasaray at Ajax

Updated

Galatasaray

39.6%26.7%33.6%
Galatasaray WinDrawAjax Win
1.33Projected Goals 1.20
3Final Score 0

Ajax

Last 5 Games

Galatasaray
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Bodo/Glimt-175
W 0-1 vs Liverpool+410
L 1-5 at Eintracht Frankfurt+200
L 1-0 vs Young Boys-315
L 2-3 at Young Boys+100
Ajax
Money Line
L 1-5 at Chelsea+750
L 0-4 at Marseille+520
L 2-0 vs Inter+410
W 3-1 at Rangers-120
L 3-0 vs Liverpool+273

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Galatasaray+113+110+107+104+104+104+110+111.3
Ajax+215+235+240+250+250+250+250+262.5
Draw+296+277+260+285+285+285+285+298.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Galatasaray+110-+115+110-105+110+115+111.3
Ajax+210-+205+210+210+230+230+262.5
Draw+300-+285+300+285+270+300+298.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Galatasaray: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Galatasaray: 0.0%
Ajax: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Galatasaray: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Galatasaray ML moved from +117 to +110
Ajax ML moved from +212 to +205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Galatasaray: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Galatasaray: 0.0%
Ajax: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Galatasaray: 10.0%
Ajax: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Galatasaray ML
Ajax ML moved from +212 to +205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+112o3-109o3-110o3-104o3-104o3-104o3-104o3+105
Underu3½-131u3-108u3-110u3-116u3-116u3-116u3-108u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+115o3+100o3+100o3+100o3-135o3-105o3+100o3+105
Underu3½-135u3-120u3-120u3-120u3+105u3-115u3+105u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3¼-118 to u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+120 to o3-135
The Under moved from u3+115 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.93%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 413.64%
Exactly 62.92%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.10%
Exactly 321.52%
Exactly 56.91%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Galatasaray
Exactly 026.42%
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 310.38%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 030.01%
Exactly 136.12%
Exactly 221.74%
Exactly 38.72%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.93%
Exactly 221.30%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.33%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Galatasaray
Exactly 054.00%
Exactly 133.28%
Exactly 210.25%
Exactly 32.11%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 057.28%
Exactly 131.92%
Exactly 28.89%
Exactly 31.65%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Galatasaray
Wins by 2+ goals18.02%
Wins by 3+ goals6.41%
Wins by 4+ goals1.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%
Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals14.07%
Wins by 3+ goals4.58%
Wins by 4+ goals1.19%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Galatasaray
Ajax
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Galatasaray
Wins by 1 goal21.59%
Wins by 2 goals11.61%
Wins by 3 goals4.58%
Wins by 4 goals1.41%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal19.52%
Wins by 2 goals9.49%
Wins by 3 goals3.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.07%7.93%
1.571.97%28.03%
2.546.50%53.50%
3.524.98%75.02%
4.511.35%88.65%
5.54.44%95.56%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Galatasaray Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.58%26.42%
1.538.41%61.59%
2.515.01%84.99%
3.54.63%95.37%
4.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.99%30.01%
1.533.87%66.13%
2.512.13%87.87%
3.53.41%96.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.07%30.93%
1.532.78%67.22%
2.511.48%88.52%
3.53.15%96.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Galatasaray
Ajax
Score012345
0
7.93%
9.54%
5.74%
2.30%
0.69%
0.17%
1
10.55%
12.70%
7.64%
3.07%
0.92%
0.22%
2
7.02%
8.45%
5.09%
2.04%
0.61%
0.15%
3
3.12%
3.75%
2.26%
0.91%
0.27%
0.07%
4
1.04%
1.25%
0.75%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.28%
0.33%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Galatasaray
1-010.55%
2-07.02%
2-18.45%
3-03.12%
3-13.75%
3-22.26%
4-01.04%
4-11.25%
4-20.75%
4-30.30%
5-00.28%
5-10.33%
5-20.20%
Draw
0-07.93%
1-112.70%
2-25.09%
3-30.91%
Ajax
0-19.54%
0-25.74%
1-27.64%
0-32.30%
1-33.07%
2-32.04%
0-40.69%
1-40.92%
2-40.61%
3-40.27%
0-50.17%
1-50.22%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Galatasaray
Ajax
Score01234
0
30.93%
17.23%
4.80%
0.89%
0.12%
1
19.06%
10.62%
2.96%
0.55%
0.08%
2
5.87%
3.27%
0.91%
0.17%
0.02%
3
1.21%
0.67%
0.19%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.19%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Galatasaray
1-019.06%
2-05.87%
2-13.27%
3-01.21%
3-10.67%
3-20.19%
4-00.19%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-030.93%
1-110.62%
2-20.91%
Ajax
0-117.23%
0-24.80%
1-22.96%
0-30.89%
1-30.55%
2-30.17%
0-40.12%