Dortmund at Manchester City

Updated

Dortmund

22.3%22.3%55.4%
Dortmund WinDrawManchester City Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.90
1Final Score 4

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Dortmund
Money Line
W 4-2 at FC Copenhagen-125
W 1-4 vs Athletic Club-130
T 4-4 at Juventus+310
W 1-3 vs Barcelona+245
L 0-4 at Barcelona+825
Manchester City
Money Line
W 2-0 at Villarreal-140
T 2-2 at Monaco-260
W 0-2 vs Napoli-170
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+275
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+585+688+675+695+695+695+695+722.6
Manchester City-225-273-285-273-273-273-273-241.7
Draw+395+452+435+465+465+465+465+484.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Dortmund+565-+690+550+500+675+690+722.6
Manchester City-245--275-280-260-280-260-241.7
Draw+425-+435+400+400+440+440+484.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 50.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +700 to +675
Manchester City ML moved from -265 to -273

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Dortmund: 50.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Dortmund: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Dortmund ML moved from +575 to +500
Manchester City ML moved from -250 to -280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+112o3½+113o3¼-108o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼+104
Underu3½-131u3½-132u3¼-112u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-115u3½-132u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+110o3½+115o3½+115o3-135o3-135o3½+115o3-135o3¼+104
Underu3½-130u3½-135u3½-135u3+115u3+105u3½-135u3½-135u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½-140
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.5%
 
No42.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.85%
Exactly 222.21%
Exactly 416.95%
Exactly 65.17%
Exactly 80.85%
 
Exactly 114.68%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.26%
Exactly 72.24%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 032.43%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 014.96%
Exactly 128.42%
Exactly 227.00%
Exactly 317.10%
Exactly 48.12%
Exactly 53.09%
Exactly 60.98%
Exactly 70.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.63%
Exactly 224.18%
Exactly 43.96%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.51%
Exactly 311.29%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 059.37%
Exactly 130.96%
Exactly 28.07%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 041.49%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.05%
Exactly 34.71%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals8.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals32.05%
Wins by 3+ goals15.12%
Wins by 4+ goals5.89%
Wins by 5+ goals1.91%
Wins by 6+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Dortmund
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal13.80%
Wins by 2 goals5.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.29%
Wins by 2 goals16.93%
Wins by 3 goals9.22%
Wins by 4 goals3.98%
Wins by 5 goals1.41%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.15%4.85%
1.580.47%19.53%
2.558.26%41.74%
3.535.86%64.14%
4.518.91%81.09%
5.58.66%91.34%
6.53.48%96.52%
7.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.57%32.43%
1.531.06%68.94%
2.510.49%89.51%
3.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.04%14.96%
1.556.62%43.38%
2.529.62%70.38%
3.512.53%87.47%
4.54.41%95.59%
5.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.37%24.63%
1.540.85%59.15%
2.516.68%83.32%
3.55.38%94.62%
4.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Dortmund
Manchester City
Score012345
0
4.85%
9.22%
8.75%
5.54%
2.63%
1.00%
1
5.46%
10.38%
9.86%
6.24%
2.97%
1.13%
2
3.08%
5.84%
5.55%
3.52%
1.67%
0.63%
3
1.15%
2.19%
2.08%
1.32%
0.63%
0.24%
4
0.33%
0.62%
0.59%
0.37%
0.18%
0.07%
Dortmund
1-05.46%
2-03.08%
2-15.84%
3-01.15%
3-12.19%
3-22.08%
4-00.33%
4-10.62%
4-20.59%
4-30.37%
Draw
0-04.85%
1-110.38%
2-25.55%
3-31.32%
4-40.18%
Manchester City
0-19.22%
0-28.75%
1-29.86%
0-35.54%
1-36.24%
2-33.52%
0-42.63%
1-42.97%
2-41.67%
3-40.63%
0-51.00%
1-51.13%
2-50.63%
3-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Dortmund
Manchester City
Score012345
0
24.63%
21.67%
9.53%
2.79%
0.61%
0.11%
1
12.84%
11.30%
4.97%
1.46%
0.32%
0.06%
2
3.35%
2.95%
1.30%
0.38%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.58%
0.51%
0.23%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Dortmund
1-012.84%
2-03.35%
2-12.95%
3-00.58%
3-10.51%
3-20.23%
Draw
0-024.63%
1-111.30%
2-21.30%
Manchester City
0-121.67%
0-29.53%
1-24.97%
0-32.79%
1-31.46%
2-30.38%
0-40.61%
1-40.32%
0-50.11%