Porto at Chelsea

Updated

Porto

29.7%24.6%45.7%
Porto WinDrawChelsea Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.64
1Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 2 Games

Porto
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Chelsea+440
L 2-3 at Juventus+550
Chelsea
Money Line
W 2-0 at Porto-135
W 0-2 vs Atletico Madrid+132

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+412+320+355+370+354+370+370-
Chelsea-153-117-125-130-133-130-117-
Draw+285+260+270+289+272+289+289-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+330-+358-+285+375+375-
Chelsea-125--130--135-135-130-
Draw+280-+272-+240+280+280-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 30.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +365 to +355
Chelsea ML moved from -127 to -133

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Porto: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 30.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 20.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +300 to +285
Chelsea ML moved from -120 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-107o2½+105o2½+103-o2½+103o2½+105-
Underu2½-120u2½-115u2½-125u2½-123-u2½-123u2½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-105o2½-102-o2½-110o2½+100o2½+100-
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-118-u2½-120u2½-120u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%
 
No47.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.66%
Exactly 224.44%
Exactly 414.94%
Exactly 63.65%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.05%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 58.09%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 034.43%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 019.35%
Exactly 131.78%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 314.29%
Exactly 45.87%
Exactly 51.93%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.54%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 39.38%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 061.04%
Exactly 130.13%
Exactly 27.44%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 046.75%
Exactly 135.55%
Exactly 213.51%
Exactly 33.43%
Exactly 40.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals9.14%
Wins by 3+ goals2.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals27.00%
Wins by 3+ goals11.48%
Wins by 4+ goals3.99%
Wins by 5+ goals1.15%
Wins by 6+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Porto
Wins by 1 goal15.43%
Wins by 2 goals6.54%
Wins by 3 goals2.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals15.52%
Wins by 3 goals7.49%
Wins by 4 goals2.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Wins by 6 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.34%6.66%
1.575.29%24.71%
2.550.84%49.16%
3.528.78%71.22%
4.513.83%86.17%
5.55.74%94.26%
6.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.57%34.43%
1.528.86%71.14%
2.59.29%90.71%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.65%19.35%
1.548.86%51.14%
2.522.76%77.24%
3.58.47%91.53%
4.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.46%28.54%
1.535.68%64.32%
2.513.24%86.76%
3.53.86%96.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Chelsea
Score012345
0
6.66%
10.94%
8.99%
4.92%
2.02%
0.66%
1
7.11%
11.67%
9.58%
5.24%
2.15%
0.71%
2
3.79%
6.22%
5.11%
2.80%
1.15%
0.38%
3
1.35%
2.21%
1.82%
0.99%
0.41%
0.13%
4
0.36%
0.59%
0.48%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
Porto
1-07.11%
2-03.79%
2-16.22%
3-01.35%
3-12.21%
3-21.82%
4-00.36%
4-10.59%
4-20.48%
4-30.26%
Draw
0-06.66%
1-111.67%
2-25.11%
3-30.99%
4-40.11%
Chelsea
0-110.94%
0-28.99%
1-29.58%
0-34.92%
1-35.24%
2-32.80%
0-42.02%
1-42.15%
2-41.15%
3-40.41%
0-50.66%
1-50.71%
2-50.38%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Chelsea
Score01234
0
28.54%
21.70%
8.25%
2.09%
0.40%
1
14.09%
10.71%
4.07%
1.03%
0.20%
2
3.48%
2.64%
1.01%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.57%
0.43%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Porto
1-014.09%
2-03.48%
2-12.64%
3-00.57%
3-10.43%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-028.54%
1-110.71%
2-21.01%
Chelsea
0-121.70%
0-28.25%
1-24.07%
0-32.09%
1-31.03%
2-30.25%
0-40.40%
1-40.20%