Real Madrid at Liverpool

Updated

Real Madrid

29.6%26.9%43.5%
Real Madrid WinDrawLiverpool Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.38
5Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Celtic-440
L 2-3 at RB Leipzig+200
T 1-1 at Shakhtar-220
W 1-2 vs Shakhtar-525
W 0-2 vs RB Leipzig-160
Liverpool
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Napoli-110
W 3-0 at Ajax-110
W 7-1 at Rangers-210
W 0-2 vs Rangers-800
W 1-2 vs Ajax-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+245+210+205+220+225+220+225+231.2
Liverpool+100+128+125+126+127+126+128+133.9
Draw+250+259+260+257+258+257+260+269.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+250-+213-+185+220+213+231.2
Liverpool+100-+127-+110+120+127+133.9
Draw+275-+249-+235+255+255+269.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Liverpool: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +216 to +210
Liverpool ML moved from +131 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Liverpool: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +220 to +210
Liverpool ML moved from +135 to +120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o2½-137o2¾-110o2¾-108o3+136o2¾-108o2½-137o2¾+102
Underu2¾-105u2½+117u2¾-110u2¾-112u3-151u2¾-112u2¾-110u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o2½-125o2½-140-o3+125o2½-145o2½-125o2¾+102
Underu3-125u2½+105u2½+120-u3-155u2½+125u2½+125u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-114 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.52%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.06%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.99%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 56.43%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 033.75%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 025.25%
Exactly 134.75%
Exactly 223.92%
Exactly 310.97%
Exactly 43.78%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.98%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 060.48%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 27.65%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 052.87%
Exactly 133.69%
Exactly 210.74%
Exactly 32.28%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals11.40%
Wins by 3+ goals3.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals20.46%
Wins by 3+ goals7.53%
Wins by 4+ goals2.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Liverpool
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal18.13%
Wins by 2 goals8.05%
Wins by 3 goals2.60%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal22.98%
Wins by 2 goals12.93%
Wins by 3 goals5.31%
Wins by 4 goals1.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.48%8.52%
1.570.49%29.51%
2.544.65%55.35%
3.523.44%76.56%
4.510.39%89.61%
5.53.96%96.04%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.25%33.75%
1.529.59%70.41%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.75%25.25%
1.540.00%60.00%
2.516.08%83.92%
3.55.11%94.89%
4.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.02%31.98%
1.531.56%68.44%
2.510.78%89.22%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Liverpool
Score012345
0
8.52%
11.73%
8.07%
3.70%
1.27%
0.35%
1
9.26%
12.74%
8.77%
4.02%
1.38%
0.38%
2
5.03%
6.92%
4.76%
2.18%
0.75%
0.21%
3
1.82%
2.50%
1.72%
0.79%
0.27%
0.07%
4
0.49%
0.68%
0.47%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.15%
0.10%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-09.26%
2-05.03%
2-16.92%
3-01.82%
3-12.50%
3-21.72%
4-00.49%
4-10.68%
4-20.47%
4-30.21%
5-00.11%
5-10.15%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-08.52%
1-112.74%
2-24.76%
3-30.79%
Liverpool
0-111.73%
0-28.07%
1-28.77%
0-33.70%
1-34.02%
2-32.18%
0-41.27%
1-41.38%
2-40.75%
3-40.27%
0-50.35%
1-50.38%
2-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Liverpool
Score01234
0
31.98%
20.38%
6.49%
1.38%
0.22%
1
16.08%
10.25%
3.27%
0.69%
0.11%
2
4.04%
2.58%
0.82%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.68%
0.43%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-016.08%
2-04.04%
2-12.58%
3-00.68%
3-10.43%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.98%
1-110.25%
2-20.82%
Liverpool
0-120.38%
0-26.49%
1-23.27%
0-31.38%
1-30.69%
2-30.17%
0-40.22%
1-40.11%