Real Madrid at Benfica

Updated

Real Madrid

46.0%25.9%28.1%
Real Madrid WinDrawBenfica Win
1.48Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 0

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
L 2-4 at Benfica-139
W 1-6 vs Monaco-350
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+240
W 4-3 at Olympiacos-165
L 0-1 at Liverpool+180
Benfica
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Real Madrid+335
L 0-2 at Juventus+427
W 0-2 vs Napoli+178
W 2-0 at Ajax+100
L 1-0 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-112+121+118+118+120+118+121+125.5
Benfica+260+215+205+220+217+220+220+231.0
Draw+295+280+270+280+277+280+280+293.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-110-+126+110+110+120+126+125.5
Benfica+260-+204+200+200+215+215+231.0
Draw+300-+267+250+250+260+267+293.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Benfica: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +127 to +120
Benfica ML moved from +212 to +205

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +120 to +110
Benfica ML moved from +218 to +208

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-109o2¾-119o2¾-118o2¾-126o2¾-126o2¾-126o2¾-118o2¾-115
Underu3-111u2¾+108u2¾-102u2¾+106u2¾+106u2¾+106u2¾+108u2¾+115
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3+110o3+110o3+110o3+100o3+105o3+110o2¾-115
Underu3+100u3-130u3-130u3-130u3-130u3-125u3-125u2¾+115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+120 to o3+100
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.59%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 413.98%
Exactly 63.10%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.57%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 57.21%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 022.74%
Exactly 133.68%
Exactly 224.94%
Exactly 312.31%
Exactly 44.56%
Exactly 51.35%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.31%
Exactly 221.60%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 050.37%
Exactly 134.54%
Exactly 211.84%
Exactly 32.71%
Exactly 40.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 060.17%
Exactly 130.57%
Exactly 27.77%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals22.70%
Wins by 3+ goals8.84%
Wins by 4+ goals2.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals10.77%
Wins by 3+ goals3.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Benfica
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.21%
Wins by 2 goals13.86%
Wins by 3 goals6.08%
Wins by 4 goals2.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal17.20%
Wins by 2 goals7.60%
Wins by 3 goals2.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.41%7.59%
1.572.84%27.16%
2.547.61%52.39%
3.525.93%74.07%
4.511.95%88.05%
5.54.75%95.25%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.26%22.74%
1.543.58%56.42%
2.518.64%81.36%
3.56.33%93.67%
4.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.62%33.38%
1.530.00%70.00%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.69%30.31%
1.533.51%66.49%
2.511.92%88.08%
3.53.32%96.68%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Benfica
Score012345
0
7.59%
8.33%
4.57%
1.67%
0.46%
0.10%
1
11.24%
12.33%
6.77%
2.48%
0.68%
0.15%
2
8.32%
9.13%
5.01%
1.83%
0.50%
0.11%
3
4.11%
4.51%
2.47%
0.91%
0.25%
0.05%
4
1.52%
1.67%
0.92%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.45%
0.49%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-011.24%
2-08.32%
2-19.13%
3-04.11%
3-14.51%
3-22.47%
4-01.52%
4-11.67%
4-20.92%
4-30.34%
5-00.45%
5-10.49%
5-20.27%
Draw
0-07.59%
1-112.33%
2-25.01%
3-30.91%
Benfica
0-18.33%
0-24.57%
1-26.77%
0-31.67%
1-32.48%
2-31.83%
0-40.46%
1-40.68%
2-40.50%
3-40.25%
0-50.10%
1-50.15%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Benfica
Score0123
0
30.31%
15.40%
3.91%
0.66%
1
20.78%
10.56%
2.68%
0.45%
2
7.13%
3.62%
0.92%
0.16%
3
1.63%
0.83%
0.21%
0.04%
4
0.28%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-020.78%
2-07.13%
2-13.62%
3-01.63%
3-10.83%
3-20.21%
4-00.28%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-030.31%
1-110.56%
2-20.92%
Benfica
0-115.40%
0-23.91%
1-22.68%
0-30.66%
1-30.45%
2-30.16%