Nacional at Estudiantes

Updated

Nacional

13.8%20.4%65.8%
WinDrawEstudiantes Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.00
0Final Score 1

Estudiantes

Last Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 2-1 at Velez Sarsf
T 0-0 vs Estudiantes
W 0-2 vs Argentinos Jun-125
W 0-1 vs Univ Catolica+155
T 0-0 at Nacional+400
Estudiantes
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Bragantino
T 0-0 at Nacional
W 1-4 vs Velez Sarsf
W 1-0 at CD Everton

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+340+440+485+511+454+485+511+532.9
Estudiantes-115-145-160-158-163-160-158-145.6
Draw+230+250+280+289+285+280+289+301.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional-----+532.9
Estudiantes------145.6
Draw-----+301.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estudiantes: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Estudiantes: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Estudiantes: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Nacional ML
No Steam Moves On Estudiantes ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2¼-122o2¼-120o2½+109-o2¼-120o2¼-120o2½+119
Underu2¼-122u2¼+102u2¼+100u2½-124-u2¼+100u2½-124u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+119
Under-----u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.13%
Exactly 223.89%
Exactly 415.52%
Exactly 64.03%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.12%
Exactly 322.23%
Exactly 58.66%
Exactly 71.61%
Exactly 90.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 045.46%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 214.13%
Exactly 33.71%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Estudiantes
Exactly 013.49%
Exactly 127.02%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.08%
Exactly 49.05%
Exactly 53.63%
Exactly 61.21%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.46%
Exactly 222.94%
Exactly 43.19%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.49%
Exactly 39.88%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 069.42%
Exactly 125.34%
Exactly 24.62%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estudiantes
Exactly 039.55%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.01%
Exactly 35.26%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals4.00%
Wins by 3+ goals0.87%
Estudiantes
Wins by 2+ goals40.79%
Wins by 3+ goals20.58%
Wins by 4+ goals8.56%
Wins by 5+ goals2.96%
Wins by 6+ goals0.83%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Estudiantes
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal9.80%
Wins by 2 goals3.13%
Wins by 3 goals0.73%
Estudiantes
Wins by 1 goal24.90%
Wins by 2 goals20.21%
Wins by 3 goals12.02%
Wins by 4 goals5.60%
Wins by 5 goals2.13%
Wins by 6 goals0.67%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.87%6.13%
1.576.75%23.25%
2.552.86%47.14%
3.530.62%69.38%
4.515.10%84.90%
5.56.44%93.56%
6.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.54%45.46%
1.518.70%81.30%
2.54.58%95.42%

Total Goals Estudiantes Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.51%13.49%
1.559.49%40.51%
2.532.42%67.58%
3.514.35%85.65%
4.55.30%94.70%
5.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.54%27.46%
1.537.05%62.95%
2.514.12%85.88%
3.54.24%95.76%
4.51.04%98.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Estudiantes
Score012345
0
6.13%
12.28%
12.30%
8.22%
4.12%
1.65%
1
4.83%
9.68%
9.70%
6.48%
3.24%
1.30%
2
1.91%
3.82%
3.82%
2.55%
1.28%
0.51%
3
0.50%
1.00%
1.00%
0.67%
0.34%
0.13%
Nacional
1-04.83%
2-01.91%
2-13.82%
3-00.50%
3-11.00%
3-21.00%
Draw
0-06.13%
1-19.68%
2-23.82%
3-30.67%
Estudiantes
0-112.28%
0-212.30%
1-29.70%
0-38.22%
1-36.48%
2-32.55%
0-44.12%
1-43.24%
2-41.28%
3-40.34%
0-51.65%
1-51.30%
2-50.51%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Estudiantes
Score012345
0
27.46%
25.47%
11.81%
3.65%
0.85%
0.16%
1
10.02%
9.30%
4.31%
1.33%
0.31%
0.06%
2
1.83%
1.70%
0.79%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.21%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Nacional
1-010.02%
2-01.83%
2-11.70%
3-00.22%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-027.46%
1-19.30%
2-20.79%
Estudiantes
0-125.47%
0-211.81%
1-24.31%
0-33.65%
1-31.33%
2-30.24%
0-40.85%
1-40.31%
0-50.16%