Cerro Porteno at Palmeiras

Updated

Cerro Porteno

13.5%20.1%66.4%
WinDrawPalmeiras Win
0.79Projected Goals 2.03
0Final Score 5

Palmeiras

Last 5 Games

Cerro Porteno
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Palmeiras+470
L 1-0 vs Olimpia
T 0-0 at Penarol
L 1-2 at Colon
W 0-1 vs Penarol
Palmeiras
Money Line
W 3-0 at Cerro Porteno-135
W 1-4 vs Deportivo Tachira
W 0-1 vs CS Emelec
W 5-0 at Indep Petroleros
W 3-1 at CS Emelec

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno+900+785+785+905+781+785+905+836.7
Palmeiras-400-290-305-294-288-305-288-241.3
Draw+500+440+440+423+390+440+440+437.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno+1200----+850+850+836.7
Palmeiras-385-----290-290-241.3
Draw+450----+400+400+437.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cerro Porteno: 30.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cerro Porteno: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cerro Porteno: 20.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cerro Porteno: 10.0%
Palmeiras: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML
No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2¾+111o2½-120o2½-123-o2½-120o2½-120o2½-114
Underu2½-118u2¾-125u2½+100u2½+108-u2½+100u2½+109u2½+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-114
Under-----u2½+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.94%
Exactly 223.68%
Exactly 415.73%
Exactly 64.18%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.78%
Exactly 322.28%
Exactly 58.88%
Exactly 71.68%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 045.45%
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 214.13%
Exactly 33.71%
Exactly 40.73%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 013.08%
Exactly 126.60%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.35%
Exactly 49.33%
Exactly 53.80%
Exactly 61.29%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.06%
Exactly 223.12%
Exactly 43.29%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.37%
Exactly 310.07%
Exactly 50.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 069.41%
Exactly 125.34%
Exactly 24.63%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 038.99%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.30%
Exactly 35.43%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals3.91%
Wins by 3+ goals0.85%
Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals41.55%
Wins by 3+ goals21.20%
Wins by 4+ goals8.93%
Wins by 5+ goals3.13%
Wins by 6+ goals0.89%
Wins by 7+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal9.60%
Wins by 2 goals3.05%
Wins by 3 goals0.71%
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal24.76%
Wins by 2 goals20.34%
Wins by 3 goals12.27%
Wins by 4 goals5.80%
Wins by 5 goals2.24%
Wins by 6 goals0.72%
Wins by 7 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.06%5.94%
1.577.28%22.72%
2.553.60%46.40%
3.531.32%68.68%
4.515.59%84.41%
5.56.71%93.29%
6.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.55%45.45%
1.518.71%81.29%
2.54.58%95.42%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.92%13.08%
1.560.32%39.68%
2.533.26%66.74%
3.514.91%85.09%
4.55.58%94.42%
5.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.94%27.06%
1.537.57%62.43%
2.514.45%85.55%
3.54.38%95.62%
4.51.09%98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
5.94%
12.09%
12.30%
8.34%
4.24%
1.73%
1
4.69%
9.53%
9.70%
6.58%
3.34%
1.36%
2
1.85%
3.76%
3.82%
2.59%
1.32%
0.54%
3
0.49%
0.99%
1.00%
0.68%
0.35%
0.14%
Cerro Porteno
1-04.69%
2-01.85%
2-13.76%
3-00.49%
3-10.99%
3-21.00%
Draw
0-05.94%
1-19.53%
2-23.82%
3-30.68%
Palmeiras
0-112.09%
0-212.30%
1-29.70%
0-38.34%
1-36.58%
2-32.59%
0-44.24%
1-43.34%
2-41.32%
3-40.35%
0-51.73%
1-51.36%
2-50.54%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Cerro Porteno
Palmeiras
Score012345
0
27.06%
25.49%
12.01%
3.77%
0.89%
0.17%
1
9.88%
9.31%
4.38%
1.38%
0.32%
0.06%
2
1.80%
1.70%
0.80%
0.25%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.21%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Cerro Porteno
1-09.88%
2-01.80%
2-11.70%
3-00.22%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-027.06%
1-19.31%
2-20.80%
Palmeiras
0-125.49%
0-212.01%
1-24.38%
0-33.77%
1-31.38%
2-30.25%
0-40.89%
1-40.32%
0-50.17%