Cerro Porteno at Penarol

Updated

Cerro Porteno

33.8%28.8%37.5%
Cerro Porteno WinDrawPenarol Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.16
0Final Score 0

Penarol

Last Games

Cerro Porteno
Money Line
L 1-2 at Colon
W 0-1 vs Penarol
W 1-3 vs Colon
T 0-0 at Olimpia
L 0-1 at Fluminense+430
Penarol
Money Line
L 0-1 at Olimpia
L 0-1 at Cerro Porteno
W 1-2 vs Olimpia

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno+205+245+255+277+258+255+277+281.1
Penarol+145+130+133+129+120+133+133+139.8
Draw+215+190+195+202+208+195+208+212.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cerro Porteno-----+281.1
Penarol-----+139.8
Draw-----+212.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Porteno: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Penarol: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cerro Porteno: 20.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cerro Porteno: 0.0%
Penarol: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Cerro Porteno ML
No Steam Moves On Penarol ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-103o2-115o2-110o2-108-o2-110o2-108o2+100
Underu2¼-117u2-105u2-110u2-107-u2-110u2-105u2+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+100
Under-----u2+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.59%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.22%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.77%
Exactly 319.98%
Exactly 55.04%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 033.76%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.91%
Exactly 37.21%
Exactly 41.96%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Penarol
Exactly 031.36%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 38.15%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.36%
Exactly 219.11%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.62%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Porteno
Exactly 060.48%
Exactly 130.41%
Exactly 27.65%
Exactly 31.28%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Penarol
Exactly 058.46%
Exactly 131.38%
Exactly 28.42%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cerro Porteno
Wins by 2+ goals13.27%
Wins by 3+ goals3.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Penarol
Wins by 2+ goals15.63%
Wins by 3+ goals5.01%
Wins by 4+ goals1.28%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Cerro Porteno
Penarol
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Cerro Porteno
Wins by 1 goal20.43%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Penarol
Wins by 1 goal21.81%
Wins by 2 goals10.62%
Wins by 3 goals3.73%
Wins by 4 goals1.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.41%10.59%
1.565.64%34.36%
2.538.95%61.05%
3.518.97%81.03%
4.57.75%92.25%
5.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Cerro Porteno Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.24%33.76%
1.529.58%70.42%
2.59.68%90.32%
3.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Penarol Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.64%31.36%
1.532.27%67.73%
2.511.19%88.81%
3.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.64%35.36%
1.527.88%72.12%
2.58.77%91.23%
3.52.15%97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cerro Porteno
Penarol
Score012345
0
10.59%
12.28%
7.12%
2.75%
0.80%
0.18%
1
11.50%
13.33%
7.73%
2.99%
0.87%
0.20%
2
6.24%
7.24%
4.20%
1.62%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.26%
2.62%
1.52%
0.59%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.61%
0.71%
0.41%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.15%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Cerro Porteno
1-011.50%
2-06.24%
2-17.24%
3-02.26%
3-12.62%
3-21.52%
4-00.61%
4-10.71%
4-20.41%
4-30.16%
5-00.13%
5-10.15%
Draw
0-010.59%
1-113.33%
2-24.20%
3-30.59%
Penarol
0-112.28%
0-27.12%
1-27.73%
0-32.75%
1-32.99%
2-31.62%
0-40.80%
1-40.87%
2-40.47%
3-40.17%
0-50.18%
1-50.20%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Cerro Porteno
Penarol
Score01234
0
35.36%
18.98%
5.10%
0.91%
0.12%
1
17.78%
9.54%
2.56%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.47%
2.40%
0.64%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.75%
0.40%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Cerro Porteno
1-017.78%
2-04.47%
2-12.40%
3-00.75%
3-10.40%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-035.36%
1-19.54%
2-20.64%
Penarol
0-118.98%
0-25.10%
1-22.56%
0-30.91%
1-30.46%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%