Libertad at Athletico Paranaense

Updated

Libertad

24.9%26.9%48.2%
Libertad WinDrawAthletico Paranaense Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.42
1Final Score 2

Athletico Paranaense

Last 5 Games

Libertad
Money Line
W 1-4 vs The Strongest
L 0-2 at Athletico Paranaense
L 0-1 at Caracas
W 0-1 vs Athletico Paranaense
W 1-2 vs Caracas
Athletico Paranaense
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Caracas
W 0-2 vs Libertad
L 0-5 at The Strongest
L 0-1 at Libertad
W 0-1 vs The Strongest

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+360-+400-+410+400+410+423.4
Athletico Paranaense-123--125--131-125-125-112.2
Draw+244-+240-+237+240+240+257.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+400----+375+375+423.4
Athletico Paranaense-135-----120-120-112.2
Draw+260----+240+240+257.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Libertad: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 20.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Libertad: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118-o2¼+104--o2¼+104o2¼+104o2¼+109
Underu2¼-102-u2¼-124--u2¼-124u2¼-124u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.41%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.23%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.24%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 55.78%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 039.01%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.29%
Exactly 35.42%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 024.12%
Exactly 134.30%
Exactly 224.39%
Exactly 311.56%
Exactly 44.11%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.48%
Exactly 220.05%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 064.67%
Exactly 128.19%
Exactly 26.14%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 051.77%
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 211.22%
Exactly 32.46%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals8.62%
Wins by 3+ goals2.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals23.52%
Wins by 3+ goals8.98%
Wins by 4+ goals2.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Libertad
Athletico Paranaense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal16.27%
Wins by 2 goals6.37%
Wins by 3 goals1.81%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal24.57%
Wins by 2 goals14.54%
Wins by 3 goals6.24%
Wins by 4 goals2.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.59%9.41%
1.568.35%31.65%
2.542.07%57.93%
3.521.37%78.63%
4.59.14%90.86%
5.53.35%96.65%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.99%39.01%
1.524.27%75.73%
2.56.99%93.01%
3.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.88%24.12%
1.541.58%58.42%
2.517.19%82.81%
3.55.63%94.37%
4.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.52%33.48%
1.529.89%70.11%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Libertad
Athletico Paranaense
Score012345
0
9.41%
13.38%
9.51%
4.51%
1.60%
0.46%
1
8.86%
12.60%
8.96%
4.25%
1.51%
0.43%
2
4.17%
5.93%
4.22%
2.00%
0.71%
0.20%
3
1.31%
1.86%
1.32%
0.63%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.31%
0.44%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Libertad
1-08.86%
2-04.17%
2-15.93%
3-01.31%
3-11.86%
3-21.32%
4-00.31%
4-10.44%
4-20.31%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.41%
1-112.60%
2-24.22%
3-30.63%
Athletico Paranaense
0-113.38%
0-29.51%
1-28.96%
0-34.51%
1-34.25%
2-32.00%
0-41.60%
1-41.51%
2-40.71%
3-40.22%
0-50.46%
1-50.43%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Libertad
Athletico Paranaense
Score01234
0
33.48%
22.04%
7.26%
1.59%
0.26%
1
14.59%
9.61%
3.16%
0.69%
0.11%
2
3.18%
2.09%
0.69%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.46%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Libertad
1-014.59%
2-03.18%
2-12.09%
3-00.46%
3-10.30%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.48%
1-19.61%
2-20.69%
Athletico Paranaense
0-122.04%
0-27.26%
1-23.16%
0-31.59%
1-30.69%
2-30.15%
0-40.26%
1-40.11%
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