Libertad at Nacional

Updated

Libertad

44.0%26.8%29.2%
Libertad WinDrawNacional Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.08
0Final Score 2

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Libertad
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Atletico Mineiro+200
L 0-1 at Athletico Paranaense+400
W 2-1 at Alianza Lima+160
L 2-1 vs Athletico Paranaense+110
L 2-1 vs Alianza Lima-245
Nacional
Money Line
W 4-5 vs Always Ready
L 0-1 at Always Ready+460
L 2-4 at Boca Juniors+585
T 0-0 vs Boca Juniors+200
W 0-1 vs Metropolitanos-850

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad+240-+205+219+222+219+222+234.9
Nacional+120-+130+128+122+128+130+139.3
Draw+215-+240+236+229+236+236+252.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Libertad-----+234.9
Nacional-----+139.3
Draw-----+252.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Libertad: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Libertad: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Libertad: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Libertad: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Libertad ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-128-o2¼-122o2¼-122o2¼-113o2¼-122o2¼-113o2¼-111
Underu2¼-102-u2¼-108u2¼+102u2¼-107u2¼+102u2¼+102u2¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-111
Under-----u2¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.4%
 
No50.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.52%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.06%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.99%
Exactly 321.21%
Exactly 56.43%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Libertad
Exactly 024.99%
Exactly 134.65%
Exactly 224.03%
Exactly 311.11%
Exactly 43.85%
Exactly 51.07%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 034.11%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 37.08%
Exactly 41.90%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.98%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.90%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Libertad
Exactly 052.62%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 210.84%
Exactly 32.32%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 060.77%
Exactly 130.27%
Exactly 27.54%
Exactly 31.25%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Libertad
Wins by 2+ goals20.83%
Wins by 3+ goals7.72%
Wins by 4+ goals2.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals11.13%
Wins by 3+ goals3.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Libertad
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Libertad
Wins by 1 goal23.12%
Wins by 2 goals13.11%
Wins by 3 goals5.43%
Wins by 4 goals1.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal17.93%
Wins by 2 goals7.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.48%8.52%
1.570.49%29.51%
2.544.65%55.35%
3.523.44%76.56%
4.510.38%89.62%
5.53.96%96.04%
6.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Libertad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.01%24.99%
1.540.35%59.65%
2.516.33%83.67%
3.55.22%94.78%
4.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.89%34.11%
1.529.21%70.79%
2.59.47%90.53%
3.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.02%31.98%
1.531.56%68.44%
2.510.78%89.22%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Libertad
Nacional
Score012345
0
8.52%
9.17%
4.93%
1.77%
0.48%
0.10%
1
11.82%
12.71%
6.84%
2.45%
0.66%
0.14%
2
8.19%
8.81%
4.74%
1.70%
0.46%
0.10%
3
3.79%
4.07%
2.19%
0.79%
0.21%
0.05%
4
1.31%
1.41%
0.76%
0.27%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.36%
0.39%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Libertad
1-011.82%
2-08.19%
2-18.81%
3-03.79%
3-14.07%
3-22.19%
4-01.31%
4-11.41%
4-20.76%
4-30.27%
5-00.36%
5-10.39%
5-20.21%
Draw
0-08.52%
1-112.71%
2-24.74%
3-30.79%
Nacional
0-19.17%
0-24.93%
1-26.84%
0-31.77%
1-32.45%
2-31.70%
0-40.48%
1-40.66%
2-40.46%
3-40.21%
0-50.10%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Libertad
Nacional
Score0123
0
31.98%
15.93%
3.97%
0.66%
1
20.53%
10.23%
2.55%
0.42%
2
6.59%
3.28%
0.82%
0.14%
3
1.41%
0.70%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.23%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Libertad
1-020.53%
2-06.59%
2-13.28%
3-01.41%
3-10.70%
3-20.17%
4-00.23%
4-10.11%
Draw
0-031.98%
1-110.23%
2-20.82%
Nacional
0-115.93%
0-23.97%
1-22.55%
0-30.66%
1-30.42%
2-30.14%
LDU de Quito at Universitario
Cerro Porteno at Colo-Colo