Athletico Paranaense at Danubio

Updated 10 days ago

10:00 PM • Apr 24, 2024

Athletico Paranaense

54.1%26.6%19.3%

Athletico Paranaense WinDrawWin

1.46Projected Goals 0.76

1Final Score 0

Danubio

Last Games

Athletico Paranaense		Money Line
W 0-1	11/20 vs Bragantino	+165
W 0-2	10/01 vs Penarol	+115
W 2-1	9/24 at Penarol	+260
W 2-4	8/19 vs LDU de Quito	-170
L 0-1	8/12 at LDU de Quito	+340

Danubio		Money Line
L 1-2	6/29 at CS Emelec	+510
L 2-0	5/25 vs Guarani	-120
L 1-2	4/19 at Guarani	+260
W 4-3	3/08 at Defensor	+230

Money Line Analysis

:3.6%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	+123	+103	+100	-103	-108	-103	+103	+117.3
Danubio	+245	+315	+300	+260	+318	+260	+318	+296.9
Draw	+231	+226	+220	+215	+227	+215	+227	+247.3

	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Athletico Paranaense	-	-	-	-	-	+117.3
Danubio	-	-	-	-	-	+296.9
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	+247.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Danubio: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Athletico Paranaense: 20.0%

Danubio: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Athletico Paranaense: 10.0%

Danubio: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Athletico Paranaense: 0.0%

Danubio: 20.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Athletico Paranaense ML

No Steam Moves On Danubio ML

Over/Under Analysis

:-0.6%

	Open Line	Heritage	Bovada	BetOnline	YouWager	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2-138	o2-131	o2¼+100	o2-122	o2¼+105	o2-122	o2-122	o2-111
Under	u2+116	u2+111	u2¼-120	u2+102	u2¼-129	u2+102	u2¼-120	u2+111

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Wynn	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		o2-111
Under		-	-	-	-	-		u2+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 20.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	40.8%


No	59.2%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	10.85%
Exactly 2	26.76%
Exactly 4	11.00%
Exactly 6	1.81%
Exactly 8	0.16%


Exactly 1	24.10%
Exactly 3	19.81%
Exactly 5	4.88%
Exactly 7	0.57%

Exact Goals Scored - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	23.11%
Exactly 1	33.85%
Exactly 2	24.80%
Exactly 3	12.11%
Exactly 4	4.43%
Exactly 5	1.30%
Exactly 6	0.32%

Exact Goals Scored - Danubio
Exactly 0	46.97%
Exactly 1	35.49%
Exactly 2	13.41%
Exactly 3	3.38%
Exactly 4	0.64%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	35.77%
Exactly 2	18.90%
Exactly 4	1.67%


Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 3	6.48%
Exactly 5	0.34%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Athletico Paranaense
Exactly 0	50.75%
Exactly 1	34.42%
Exactly 2	11.67%
Exactly 3	2.64%
Exactly 4	0.45%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Danubio
Exactly 0	70.48%
Exactly 1	24.66%
Exactly 2	4.31%
Exactly 3	0.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 2+ goals	27.49%
Wins by 3+ goals	10.90%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.46%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.87%

Danubio
Wins by 2+ goals	5.55%
Wins by 3+ goals	1.14%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Athletico Paranaense

Danubio

Athletico Paranaense
Wins by 1 goal	26.48%
Wins by 2 goals	16.58%
Wins by 3 goals	7.45%
Wins by 4 goals	2.59%
Wins by 5 goals	0.72%

Danubio
Wins by 1 goal	13.66%
Wins by 2 goals	4.40%
Wins by 3 goals	1.00%
Wins by 4 goals	0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	89.15%	10.85%
1.5	65.04%	34.96%
2.5	38.28%	61.72%
3.5	18.47%	81.53%
4.5	7.47%	92.53%
5.5	2.59%	97.41%

Total Goals Athletico Paranaense Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	76.89%	23.11%
1.5	43.04%	56.96%
2.5	18.24%	81.76%
3.5	6.13%	93.87%
4.5	1.70%	98.30%

Total Goals Danubio Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	53.03%	46.97%
1.5	17.54%	82.46%
2.5	4.13%	95.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.23%	35.77%
1.5	27.46%	72.54%
2.5	8.56%	91.44%
3.5	2.08%	97.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Athletico Paranaense

Danubio

Score	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.85%	8.20%	3.10%	0.78%	0.15%
1	15.90%	12.02%	4.54%	1.14%	0.22%
2	11.65%	8.80%	3.33%	0.84%	0.16%
3	5.69%	4.30%	1.62%	0.41%	0.08%
4	2.08%	1.57%	0.59%	0.15%	0.03%
5	0.61%	0.46%	0.17%	0.04%	0.01%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	15.90%
2-0	11.65%
2-1	8.80%
3-0	5.69%
3-1	4.30%
3-2	1.62%
4-0	2.08%
4-1	1.57%
4-2	0.59%
4-3	0.15%
5-0	0.61%
5-1	0.46%
5-2	0.17%

Draw
0-0	10.85%
1-1	12.02%
2-2	3.33%
3-3	0.41%

Danubio
0-1	8.20%
0-2	3.10%
1-2	4.54%
0-3	0.78%
1-3	1.14%
2-3	0.84%
0-4	0.15%
1-4	0.22%
2-4	0.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Athletico Paranaense

Danubio

Score	0	1	2	3
0	35.77%	12.51%	2.19%	0.26%
1	24.26%	8.49%	1.49%	0.17%
2	8.23%	2.88%	0.50%	0.06%
3	1.86%	0.65%	0.11%	0.01%
4	0.32%	0.11%	0.02%	0.00%

Athletico Paranaense
1-0	24.26%
2-0	8.23%
2-1	2.88%
3-0	1.86%
3-1	0.65%
3-2	0.11%
4-0	0.32%
4-1	0.11%

Draw
0-0	35.77%
1-1	8.49%
2-2	0.50%

Danubio
0-1	12.51%
0-2	2.19%
1-2	1.49%
0-3	0.26%
1-3	0.17%

Defensa y Just at U Cesar Vallejo

Defensa y Just at Independiente

Athletico Paranaense at Danubio