Atletico Goianiense at Nacional

Updated

Atletico Goianiense

28.3%29.3%42.4%
Atletico Goianiense WinDrawNacional Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Atletico Goianiense
Money Line
W 3-5 vs Olimpia-170
L 0-2 at Olimpia+225
T 1-1 at LDU de Quito
W 0-1 vs Antofagasta
W 2-3 vs Defensa y Just
Nacional
Money Line
W 2-1 at CA Union+335
W 0-2 vs CA Union+130
T 0-0 at Guairena FC
L 1-0 vs Guairena FC
W 1-0 at Penarol+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Goianiense+220+447+440+320+459+475+475+506.7
Nacional+135-138-150-109-151-145-109-127.8
Draw+200+260+265+240+262+252+265+264.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Goianiense+295----+460+460+506.7
Nacional+100-----145-145-127.8
Draw+235----+255+255+264.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Goianiense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Goianiense: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Goianiense: 0.0%
Nacional: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Goianiense ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Goianiense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Goianiense: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Goianiense: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Goianiense ML
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105o2-140o2¼+102o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2¼+105o2-124
Underu2¼-125u2+118u2¼-122u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-120u2+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145----o2-130o2-130o2-124
Underu2+125----u2+110u2+110u2+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.4%
 
No57.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.83%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.23%
Exactly 61.55%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.26%
Exactly 319.17%
Exactly 54.37%
Exactly 70.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Goianiense
Exactly 039.53%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.02%
Exactly 35.27%
Exactly 41.22%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 029.93%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.78%
Exactly 38.76%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.23%
Exactly 218.17%
Exactly 41.48%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 35.99%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Goianiense
Exactly 065.07%
Exactly 127.96%
Exactly 26.01%
Exactly 30.86%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 057.21%
Exactly 131.95%
Exactly 28.92%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Goianiense
Wins by 2+ goals9.86%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals18.50%
Wins by 3+ goals6.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Goianiense
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atletico Goianiense
Wins by 1 goal18.39%
Wins by 2 goals7.28%
Wins by 3 goals2.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal23.90%
Wins by 2 goals12.31%
Wins by 3 goals4.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.17%11.83%
1.562.91%37.09%
2.535.96%64.04%
3.516.79%83.21%
4.56.56%93.44%
5.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals Atletico Goianiense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.47%39.53%
1.523.78%76.22%
2.56.75%93.25%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.07%29.93%
1.533.96%66.04%
2.512.19%87.81%
3.53.43%96.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.77%37.23%
1.525.99%74.01%
2.57.81%92.19%
3.51.83%98.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Goianiense
Nacional
Score012345
0
11.83%
14.27%
8.61%
3.46%
1.04%
0.25%
1
10.98%
13.25%
7.99%
3.21%
0.97%
0.23%
2
5.10%
6.15%
3.71%
1.49%
0.45%
0.11%
3
1.58%
1.90%
1.15%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.37%
0.44%
0.27%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Atletico Goianiense
1-010.98%
2-05.10%
2-16.15%
3-01.58%
3-11.90%
3-21.15%
4-00.37%
4-10.44%
4-20.27%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-011.83%
1-113.25%
2-23.71%
3-30.46%
Nacional
0-114.27%
0-28.61%
1-27.99%
0-33.46%
1-33.21%
2-31.49%
0-41.04%
1-40.97%
2-40.45%
3-40.14%
0-50.25%
1-50.23%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Goianiense
Nacional
Score01234
0
37.23%
20.79%
5.81%
1.08%
0.15%
1
16.00%
8.93%
2.49%
0.46%
0.06%
2
3.44%
1.92%
0.54%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.49%
0.27%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Goianiense
1-016.00%
2-03.44%
2-11.92%
3-00.49%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-037.23%
1-18.93%
2-20.54%
Nacional
0-120.79%
0-25.81%
1-22.49%
0-31.08%
1-30.46%
0-40.15%