Melgar at Independiente

Updated

Melgar

13.3%19.1%67.6%
WinDrawIndependiente Win
0.84Projected Goals 2.15
0Final Score 3

Independiente

Last 5 Games

Melgar
Money Line
W 3-1 at Internacional+750
T 0-0 vs Internacional+135
W 1-2 vs AD Cali-150
T 0-0 at AD Cali+510
W 1-3 vs Cuiaba
Independiente
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Deportivo Tachira-290
W 1-0 at Deportivo Tachira+140
T 0-0 at Lanus+280
W 1-2 vs Lanus-160
T 1-1 at Bragantino+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Melgar+388+409+390+440+390+440+440+479.9
Independiente-132-127-130-140-135-140-127-123.3
Draw+276+252+235+255+255+255+255+263.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Melgar+420----+445+445+479.9
Independiente-145-----140-140-123.3
Draw+275----+250+250+263.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Melgar: 0.0%
Independiente: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Melgar: 10.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Melgar ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Melgar: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Melgar: 0.0%
Independiente: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Melgar: 20.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Melgar ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+106o2-144o2¼+102o2¼+102-o2¼+102o2¼+102o2-121
Underu2½-126u2+122u2¼-122u2¼-122-u2¼-122u2¼-122u2+121
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115----o2-135o2-135o2-121
Underu2½-135----u2+115u2+115u2+121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.0%
 
No50.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.05%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 416.72%
Exactly 64.97%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.08%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.99%
Exactly 72.12%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Melgar
Exactly 043.41%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.11%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 011.63%
Exactly 125.02%
Exactly 226.92%
Exactly 319.31%
Exactly 410.38%
Exactly 54.47%
Exactly 61.60%
Exactly 70.49%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.09%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 311.05%
Exactly 51.06%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Melgar
Exactly 067.95%
Exactly 126.25%
Exactly 25.07%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 036.93%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.32%
Exactly 36.08%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Melgar
Wins by 2+ goals3.98%
Wins by 3+ goals0.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals43.54%
Wins by 3+ goals23.09%
Wins by 4+ goals10.20%
Wins by 5+ goals3.81%
Wins by 6+ goals1.21%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Melgar
Independiente
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Melgar
Wins by 1 goal9.31%
Wins by 2 goals3.07%
Wins by 3 goals0.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal24.01%
Wins by 2 goals20.45%
Wins by 3 goals12.89%
Wins by 4 goals6.39%
Wins by 5 goals2.60%
Wins by 6 goals0.89%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.95%5.05%
1.579.87%20.13%
2.557.37%42.63%
3.534.96%65.04%
4.518.24%81.76%
5.58.25%91.75%
6.53.28%96.72%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Melgar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.59%43.41%
1.520.37%79.63%
2.55.25%94.75%
3.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.37%11.63%
1.563.35%36.65%
2.536.43%63.57%
3.517.12%82.88%
4.56.74%93.26%
5.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.91%25.09%
1.540.21%59.79%
2.516.23%83.77%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Melgar
Independiente
Score012345
0
5.05%
10.86%
11.69%
8.38%
4.51%
1.94%
1
4.21%
9.06%
9.75%
6.99%
3.76%
1.62%
2
1.76%
3.78%
4.07%
2.92%
1.57%
0.68%
3
0.49%
1.05%
1.13%
0.81%
0.44%
0.19%
4
0.10%
0.22%
0.24%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
Melgar
1-04.21%
2-01.76%
2-13.78%
3-00.49%
3-11.05%
3-21.13%
4-00.10%
4-10.22%
4-20.24%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.05%
1-19.06%
2-24.07%
3-30.81%
Independiente
0-110.86%
0-211.69%
1-29.75%
0-38.38%
1-36.99%
2-32.92%
0-44.51%
1-43.76%
2-41.57%
3-40.44%
0-51.94%
1-51.62%
2-50.68%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Melgar
Independiente
Score012345
0
25.09%
25.00%
12.45%
4.13%
1.03%
0.21%
1
9.70%
9.66%
4.81%
1.60%
0.40%
0.08%
2
1.87%
1.87%
0.93%
0.31%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.24%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Melgar
1-09.70%
2-01.87%
2-11.87%
3-00.24%
3-10.24%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-025.09%
1-19.66%
2-20.93%
Independiente
0-125.00%
0-212.45%
1-24.81%
0-34.13%
1-31.60%
2-30.31%
0-41.03%
1-40.40%
0-50.21%