Vitória at Cerro Largo

Updated

Vitoria

54.8%25.1%20.1%
Vitória WinDrawCerro Largo Win
1.60Projected Goals 0.85
1Final Score 0

Cerro Largo

Last 4 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Defensa y Just
L 1-0 vs Cerro Largo
T 0-0 at Defensa y Just
T 1-1 vs Univ Catolica
Cerro Largo
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Univ Catolica
W 1-0 at Vitoria
L 1-0 vs Wanderers
L 1-2 at Wanderers

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+115-+155+138+146+138+155+157.3
Cerro Largo+260-+195+215+200+215+215+240.6
Draw+195-+190+191+198+191+198+214.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-----+157.3
Cerro Largo-----+240.6
Draw-----+214.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cerro Largo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 40.0%
Cerro Largo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Cerro Largo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
No Steam Moves On Cerro Largo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-102-o2-105o2+100o2-110o2+100o2+100o2+109
Underu2-118-u2-115u2-120u2-114u2-120u2-114u2-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+109
Under-----u2-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.67%
Exactly 225.92%
Exactly 412.92%
Exactly 62.58%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.20%
Exactly 321.13%
Exactly 56.32%
Exactly 70.90%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 020.35%
Exactly 132.40%
Exactly 225.79%
Exactly 313.68%
Exactly 45.45%
Exactly 51.73%
Exactly 60.46%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Cerro Largo
Exactly 042.59%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.52%
Exactly 34.42%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.23%
Exactly 220.66%
Exactly 42.21%
 
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 37.80%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 047.85%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 213.00%
Exactly 33.19%
Exactly 40.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cerro Largo
Exactly 067.35%
Exactly 126.62%
Exactly 25.26%
Exactly 30.69%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals29.21%
Wins by 3+ goals12.32%
Wins by 4+ goals4.23%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Cerro Largo
Wins by 2+ goals6.38%
Wins by 3+ goals1.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Cerro Largo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.55%
Wins by 2 goals16.88%
Wins by 3 goals8.10%
Wins by 4 goals3.03%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Cerro Largo
Wins by 1 goal13.70%
Wins by 2 goals4.85%
Wins by 3 goals1.25%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.33%8.67%
1.570.13%29.87%
2.544.21%55.79%
3.523.08%76.92%
4.510.17%89.83%
5.53.85%96.15%
6.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.65%20.35%
1.547.24%52.76%
2.521.45%78.55%
3.57.77%92.23%
4.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Cerro Largo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.41%42.59%
1.521.06%78.94%
2.55.54%94.46%
3.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.77%32.23%
1.531.28%68.72%
2.510.62%89.38%
3.52.82%97.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Cerro Largo
Score01234
0
8.67%
7.40%
3.16%
0.90%
0.19%
1
13.80%
11.78%
5.03%
1.43%
0.31%
2
10.98%
9.38%
4.00%
1.14%
0.24%
3
5.83%
4.97%
2.12%
0.60%
0.13%
4
2.32%
1.98%
0.85%
0.24%
0.05%
5
0.74%
0.63%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
Vitoria
1-013.80%
2-010.98%
2-19.38%
3-05.83%
3-14.97%
3-22.12%
4-02.32%
4-11.98%
4-20.85%
4-30.24%
5-00.74%
5-10.63%
5-20.27%
Draw
0-08.67%
1-111.78%
2-24.00%
3-30.60%
Cerro Largo
0-17.40%
0-23.16%
1-25.03%
0-30.90%
1-31.43%
2-31.14%
0-40.19%
1-40.31%
2-40.24%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Cerro Largo
Score0123
0
32.23%
12.74%
2.52%
0.33%
1
23.75%
9.39%
1.86%
0.24%
2
8.75%
3.46%
0.68%
0.09%
3
2.15%
0.85%
0.17%
0.02%
4
0.40%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-023.75%
2-08.75%
2-13.46%
3-02.15%
3-10.85%
3-20.17%
4-00.40%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-032.23%
1-19.39%
2-20.68%
Cerro Largo
0-112.74%
0-22.52%
1-21.86%
0-30.33%
1-30.24%