Coppa Italia Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for March 4, 2026

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Atalanta
Lazio 		38.6%
34.9%		26.5%
+140
+232
+120
+245
1.32
1.25		2.57
o2-135
u2¼-125
o2-140
u2½-130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Mar 3, 2026
Games for Mar 5, 2026

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Torino
Sampdoria		29.6%
46.5%		23.8%
+135
+241
+120
+170
1
2		-1.23117-1.11364-0.76529
Lecce
Spezia		29.9%
47.1%		22.9%
+186
+147
+170
+125
2
0		-1.08261-1.11310-1.20621
Benevento
Fiorentina		19.6%
63.5%		16.9%
+719
-242

1
2		-0.36065-0.45353
Cittadella
Cagliari		21.4%
59.8%		18.7%
+205
+156
+175
+125
1
3		-0.96220-0.92920-0.51376
Empoli
Hellas Verona		22.9%
56.6%		20.5%
+222
+116
+200
-105
4
3		-1.19759-1.21838-1.47556
Salernitana
Genoa		19.9%
63.3%		16.8%
+429
-140
+340
-170
0
1		-0.56421-0.58234-0.45691
Crotone
Udinese		17.0%
69.5%		13.5%
+603
-213
+550
-300
0
4		-0.40940-0.40642-0.36381
Ternana
Venezia		26.7%
49.5%		23.8%
+288
-110
+265
-140
1
3		-0.68260-0.66235-0.70289
Alessandria
Sampdoria		13.6%
74.7%		11.7%
+1248
-475

2
3		-0.22965-0.29170
US Reggina
Salernitana		24.3%
52.1%		23.6%
+210
+144
+210
+120
0
2		-0.92862-0.90889-0.65275
Ternana
Bologna		15.9%
73.1%		11.0%
+699
-280
+570
-310
5
4		-2.12135-2.02670-1.83810
Brescia
Crotone		28.7%
48.6%		22.7%
+141
+175
+155
+135
2
4		-1.06790-0.97681-0.72163
Cremonese
Torino		18.4%
66.2%		15.3%
+404
-150
+400
-185
1
4		-0.54452-0.55161-0.41205
Frosinone
Venezia		26.2%
47.7%		26.1%
+251
+114
+250
-115
7
8		-0.79722-0.75067-0.74051
Lecce
Parma		29.9%
47.5%		22.6%
+215
+123
+220
+100
3
1		-1.19162-1.28533-1.20701
Vicenza Virtus
Empoli		21.3%
61.2%		17.6%
+450
-152
+350
-175
2
4		-0.54177-0.56999-0.49164
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18267 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.18306 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.44796
-0.26529
-0.26490

Predictions Methodology

The Coppa Italia is a 78 team tournament that is the top-tier Cup in Italy. The eight round competition includes teams from the top four Italian leagues: Serie A, Serie B, Serie C, and Serie D. All of our projections for the games are based on the result after 90 minutes. All games will not be listed as we only have data on teams from the top leagues.