Freiburg at Düsseldorf

Updated

Freiburg

40.3%26.2%33.5%
Freiburg WinDrawDüsseldorf Win
1.38Projected Goals 1.24
3Final Score 1

Dusseldorf

Last 5 Games

Freiburg
Money Line
L 1-3 at Arminia Bielefeld-130
W 1-2 vs Hamburger SV-240
W 4-0 at VfL Osnabruck-245
L 3-1 vs Paderborn 07-235
L 5-1 vs RB Leipzig+330
Dusseldorf
Money Line
L 0-2 at Dresden+100
L 0-4 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen+1500
W 4-3 at FC St. Pauli+340
W 2-1 at FC Magdeburg+195
L 3-5 at FC Nurnberg+150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg+116-138-148-137-137-137-137-117.6
Düsseldorf+227+396+350+325+325+325+396+354.6
Draw+268+287+265+290+290+290+290+317.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Freiburg-110----130--130-117.6
Düsseldorf+220---+265-+265+354.6
Draw+240---+250-+250+317.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Düsseldorf: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Düsseldorf: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Düsseldorf: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from -127 to -137
Düsseldorf ML moved from +335 to +315

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Freiburg: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Düsseldorf: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Freiburg: 0.0%
Düsseldorf: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Freiburg: 0.0%
Düsseldorf: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Freiburg ML moved from -120 to -130
No Steam Moves On Düsseldorf ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-134o2½-109o2½-115o2½-108o2½-108o2½-108o2½-108o2½+102
Underu2½+114u2½-107u2½-115u2½-112u2½-112u2½-112u2½-107u2½-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145---o2½-110-o2½-110o2½+102
Underu2½+115---u2½-120-u2½-120u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-115 to o2½-148
The Under moved from u2½+113 to u2½-115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.1%
 
No46.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.29%
Exactly 225.00%
Exactly 414.28%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.09%
Exactly 321.82%
Exactly 57.48%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Freiburg
Exactly 025.10%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 311.05%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Dusseldorf
Exactly 029.05%
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.75%
Exactly 221.86%
Exactly 42.68%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 38.84%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Freiburg
Exactly 052.72%
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 210.80%
Exactly 32.30%
Exactly 40.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dusseldorf
Exactly 056.42%
Exactly 132.29%
Exactly 29.24%
Exactly 31.76%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Freiburg
Wins by 2+ goals18.73%
Wins by 3+ goals6.85%
Wins by 4+ goals2.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%
Dusseldorf
Wins by 2+ goals14.21%
Wins by 3+ goals4.71%
Wins by 4+ goals1.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Freiburg
Dusseldorf
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Freiburg
Wins by 1 goal21.52%
Wins by 2 goals11.89%
Wins by 3 goals4.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%
Dusseldorf
Wins by 1 goal19.25%
Wins by 2 goals9.50%
Wins by 3 goals3.46%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.71%7.29%
1.573.62%26.38%
2.548.62%51.38%
3.526.81%73.19%
4.512.52%87.48%
5.55.04%94.96%
6.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Freiburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.90%25.10%
1.540.21%59.79%
2.516.23%83.77%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Dusseldorf Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.95%29.05%
1.535.04%64.96%
2.512.84%87.16%
3.53.70%96.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.25%29.75%
1.534.19%65.81%
2.512.32%87.68%
3.53.49%96.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Freiburg
Dusseldorf
Score012345
0
7.29%
9.01%
5.57%
2.30%
0.71%
0.18%
1
10.08%
12.46%
7.70%
3.17%
0.98%
0.24%
2
6.97%
8.61%
5.32%
2.19%
0.68%
0.17%
3
3.21%
3.97%
2.45%
1.01%
0.31%
0.08%
4
1.11%
1.37%
0.85%
0.35%
0.11%
0.03%
5
0.31%
0.38%
0.23%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Freiburg
1-010.08%
2-06.97%
2-18.61%
3-03.21%
3-13.97%
3-22.45%
4-01.11%
4-11.37%
4-20.85%
4-30.35%
5-00.31%
5-10.38%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-07.29%
1-112.46%
2-25.32%
3-31.01%
4-40.11%
Dusseldorf
0-19.01%
0-25.57%
1-27.70%
0-32.30%
1-33.17%
2-32.19%
0-40.71%
1-40.98%
2-40.68%
3-40.31%
0-50.18%
1-50.24%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Freiburg
Dusseldorf
Score01234
0
29.75%
17.03%
4.87%
0.93%
0.13%
1
19.04%
10.90%
3.12%
0.59%
0.09%
2
6.09%
3.49%
1.00%
0.19%
0.03%
3
1.30%
0.74%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.21%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Freiburg
1-019.04%
2-06.09%
2-13.49%
3-01.30%
3-10.74%
3-20.21%
4-00.21%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-029.75%
1-110.90%
2-21.00%
Dusseldorf
0-117.03%
0-24.87%
1-23.12%
0-30.93%
1-30.59%
2-30.19%
0-40.13%