Hoffenheim at St. Pauli

Updated

Hoffenheim

22.8%21.6%55.5%
Hoffenheim WinDrawSt. Pauli Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.99
7Final Score 8

FC St. Pauli

Last 5 Games

Hoffenheim
Money Line
W 4-0 at FC Hansa Rostock
L 0-3 at Wolfsburg+320
W 1-2 vs FC Nurnberg-300
W 5-3 at Wurzburger Kickers
L 0-1 at Dortmund+390
FC St. Pauli
Money Line
L 2-4 at RB Leipzig+525
L 4-3 vs Dusseldorf-130
W 1-2 vs Schalke 04-235
L 1-2 at Freiburg+575
L 1-2 at Union Berlin+400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:11.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+193+133+115+121+121+121+133+138.7
St. Pauli+138+201+200+189+189+189+201+212.2
Draw+258+259+245+255+255+255+259+283.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hoffenheim+130---+130-+130+138.7
St. Pauli+160---+160-+160+212.2
Draw+225---+225-+225+283.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hoffenheim: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hoffenheim ML moved from +131 to +123
St. Pauli ML moved from +196 to +189

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hoffenheim: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
St. Pauli: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hoffenheim: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hoffenheim: 0.0%
St. Pauli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Hoffenheim ML
No Steam Moves On St. Pauli ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-140o2½-150o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-115o2½-140o2¾-104
Underu2½+106u2½+119u2½+115u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120---o2½-140-o2½-140o2¾-104
Underu2½-110---u2½+110-u2½+110u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-120 to o2½-140
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.6%
 
No39.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.07%
Exactly 220.86%
Exactly 417.81%
Exactly 66.08%
Exactly 81.11%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 113.04%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 511.40%
Exactly 72.78%
Exactly 90.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Hoffenheim
Exactly 029.84%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 38.80%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 013.65%
Exactly 127.18%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.97%
Exactly 48.95%
Exactly 53.56%
Exactly 61.18%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.72%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 44.57%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.67%
Exactly 312.32%
Exactly 51.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hoffenheim
Exactly 057.13%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC St. Pauli
Exactly 039.77%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.91%
Exactly 35.20%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hoffenheim
Wins by 2+ goals9.05%
Wins by 3+ goals2.83%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 2+ goals32.72%
Wins by 3+ goals15.86%
Wins by 4+ goals6.38%
Wins by 5+ goals2.14%
Wins by 6+ goals0.57%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Hoffenheim
Wins by 1 goal13.78%
Wins by 2 goals6.22%
Wins by 3 goals2.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
FC St. Pauli
Wins by 1 goal22.69%
Wins by 2 goals16.86%
Wins by 3 goals9.48%
Wins by 4 goals4.24%
Wins by 5 goals1.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.47%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.93%4.07%
1.582.89%17.11%
2.562.03%37.97%
3.539.77%60.23%
4.521.95%78.05%
5.510.55%89.45%
6.54.47%95.53%
7.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Hoffenheim Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.16%29.84%
1.534.07%65.93%
2.512.25%87.75%
3.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals FC St. Pauli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.35%13.65%
1.559.17%40.83%
2.532.10%67.90%
3.514.14%85.86%
4.55.19%94.81%
5.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.28%22.72%
1.543.61%56.39%
2.518.66%81.34%
3.56.34%93.66%
4.51.77%98.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
4.07%
8.11%
8.08%
5.36%
2.67%
1.06%
1
4.93%
9.81%
9.77%
6.48%
3.23%
1.29%
2
2.98%
5.93%
5.91%
3.92%
1.95%
0.78%
3
1.20%
2.39%
2.38%
1.58%
0.79%
0.31%
4
0.36%
0.72%
0.72%
0.48%
0.24%
0.09%
Hoffenheim
1-04.93%
2-02.98%
2-15.93%
3-01.20%
3-12.39%
3-22.38%
4-00.36%
4-10.72%
4-20.72%
4-30.48%
Draw
0-04.07%
1-19.81%
2-25.91%
3-31.58%
4-40.24%
FC St. Pauli
0-18.11%
0-28.08%
1-29.77%
0-35.36%
1-36.48%
2-33.92%
0-42.67%
1-43.23%
2-41.95%
3-40.79%
0-51.06%
1-51.29%
2-50.78%
3-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
Score012345
0
22.72%
20.95%
9.66%
2.97%
0.68%
0.13%
1
12.72%
11.73%
5.41%
1.66%
0.38%
0.07%
2
3.56%
3.28%
1.51%
0.47%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.66%
0.61%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Hoffenheim
1-012.72%
2-03.56%
2-13.28%
3-00.66%
3-10.61%
3-20.28%
Draw
0-022.72%
1-111.73%
2-21.51%
FC St. Pauli
0-120.95%
0-29.66%
1-25.41%
0-32.97%
1-31.66%
2-30.47%
0-40.68%
1-40.38%
2-40.11%
0-50.13%
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