Aston Villa at Brentford

Updated

Aston Villa

37.5%28.0%34.5%
Aston Villa WinDrawBrentford Win
1.20Projected Goals 1.15
2Final Score 4

Brentford

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Crystal Palace+150
W 2-1 at Wycombe Wanderers-210
L 2-1 vs Everton-125
L 2-4 at Manchester United+325
W 4-1 at Bolton Wanderers
Brentford
Money Line
W 2-0 at Bournemouth+285
L 1-3 at Newcastle United+650
W 4-5 vs Sheffield Wednesday-480
W 1-3 vs Leyton Orient
W 1-0 at Colchester United

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+125-105-114-106-106-106-105+113.3
Brentford+180+271+250+220+254+220+271+251.1
Draw+240+288+270+270+280+270+288+306.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+150---+105-110+105+113.3
Brentford+165---+175+275+275+251.1
Draw+265---+250+285+285+306.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brentford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brentford: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +102 to -102
Brentford ML moved from +264 to +254

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brentford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Brentford: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +110 to -110
No Steam Moves On Brentford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+113o3+114o2½-157o2¾-124o2¾-123o2¾-124o3+114o2¾-113
Underu3-136u3-134u2½+130u2¾+104u2¾+101u2¾+104u3-130u2¾+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145---o2½-140o2½-145o2½-140o2¾-113
Underu2½+125---u2½+110u2½+125u2½+125u2¾+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.51%
Exactly 226.32%
Exactly 412.15%
Exactly 62.24%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.37%
Exactly 320.65%
Exactly 55.72%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 029.90%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 031.80%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 42.28%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.64%
Exactly 219.96%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 057.17%
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 28.93%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 058.83%
Exactly 131.21%
Exactly 28.28%
Exactly 31.46%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals16.02%
Wins by 3+ goals5.29%
Wins by 4+ goals1.39%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals14.01%
Wins by 3+ goals4.35%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Brentford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals10.73%
Wins by 3 goals3.90%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal20.38%
Wins by 2 goals9.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.87%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.49%9.51%
1.568.12%31.88%
2.541.80%58.20%
3.521.15%78.85%
4.59.01%90.99%
5.53.29%96.71%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.10%29.90%
1.534.01%65.99%
2.512.21%87.79%
3.53.44%96.56%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.20%31.80%
1.531.77%68.23%
2.510.89%89.11%
3.52.92%97.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.36%33.64%
1.529.71%70.29%
2.59.75%90.25%
3.52.50%97.50%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Brentford
Score012345
0
9.51%
10.89%
6.24%
2.38%
0.68%
0.16%
1
11.48%
13.15%
7.53%
2.88%
0.82%
0.19%
2
6.93%
7.94%
4.55%
1.74%
0.50%
0.11%
3
2.79%
3.20%
1.83%
0.70%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.84%
0.96%
0.55%
0.21%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-011.48%
2-06.93%
2-17.94%
3-02.79%
3-13.20%
3-21.83%
4-00.84%
4-10.96%
4-20.55%
4-30.21%
5-00.20%
5-10.23%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.51%
1-113.15%
2-24.55%
3-30.70%
Brentford
0-110.89%
0-26.24%
1-27.53%
0-32.38%
1-32.88%
2-31.74%
0-40.68%
1-40.82%
2-40.50%
3-40.20%
0-50.16%
1-50.19%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Brentford
Score01234
0
33.64%
17.84%
4.73%
0.84%
0.11%
1
18.81%
9.98%
2.65%
0.47%
0.06%
2
5.26%
2.79%
0.74%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.98%
0.52%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-018.81%
2-05.26%
2-12.79%
3-00.98%
3-10.52%
3-20.14%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-033.64%
1-19.98%
2-20.74%
Brentford
0-117.84%
0-24.73%
1-22.65%
0-30.84%
1-30.47%
2-30.13%
0-40.11%