Derby County at West Brom

Updated

Derby County

20.5%24.6%54.9%
Derby County WinDrawWest Brom Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.64
3Final Score 2

West Bromwich Albion

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 2-3 at Barrow-135
L 2-0 vs Blackpool-140
L 2-3 at Liverpool+400
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+215
W 2-1 at Mansfield Town+170
West Bromwich Albion
Money Line
L 1-2 at Fleetwood Town+120
L 1-2 at Stoke City+290
L 0-1 at Derby County+100
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United+125
L 6-0 vs Arsenal

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+275+413+380+375+412+375+413+423.1
West Brom+109-138-157-161-147-161-138-127.3
Draw+240+277+265+265+270+265+277+302.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+240---+250-+250+423.1
West Brom-110----115--115-127.3
Draw+225---+225-+225+302.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 10.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +390 to +380
West Brom ML moved from -154 to -161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
West Brom: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On West Brom ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+106o2½+105o2½+108o2¼-123o2¼-122o2¼-123o2¼-122o2¼-112
Underu2½-125u2½-124u2½-128u2¼+103u2¼+100u2¼+103u2½-124u2¼+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115---o2½+110-o2½+110o2¼-112
Underu2½-145---u2½-140-u2½-140u2¼+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.95%
Exactly 225.49%
Exactly 413.61%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.14%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 56.89%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 040.89%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.35%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 019.45%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 314.23%
Exactly 45.82%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.97%
Exactly 221.27%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 38.31%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 066.10%
Exactly 127.37%
Exactly 25.67%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 046.86%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.46%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 2+ goals29.67%
Wins by 3+ goals12.75%
Wins by 4+ goals4.47%
Wins by 5+ goals1.30%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.76%
Wins by 2 goals5.04%
Wins by 3 goals1.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 1 goal25.19%
Wins by 2 goals16.91%
Wins by 3 goals8.29%
Wins by 4 goals3.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.99%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.05%7.95%
1.571.91%28.09%
2.546.42%53.58%
3.524.92%75.08%
4.511.31%88.69%
5.54.42%95.58%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.11%40.89%
1.522.54%77.46%
2.56.19%93.81%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals West Bromwich Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.55%19.45%
1.548.70%51.30%
2.522.63%77.37%
3.58.40%91.60%
4.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.03%30.97%
1.532.73%67.27%
2.511.45%88.55%
3.53.14%96.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
Score012345
0
7.95%
13.02%
10.66%
5.82%
2.38%
0.78%
1
7.11%
11.65%
9.53%
5.20%
2.13%
0.70%
2
3.18%
5.21%
4.26%
2.33%
0.95%
0.31%
3
0.95%
1.55%
1.27%
0.69%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.21%
0.35%
0.28%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-07.11%
2-03.18%
2-15.21%
3-00.95%
3-11.55%
3-21.27%
4-00.21%
4-10.35%
4-20.28%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.95%
1-111.65%
2-24.26%
3-30.69%
West Bromwich Albion
0-113.02%
0-210.66%
1-29.53%
0-35.82%
1-35.20%
2-32.33%
0-42.38%
1-42.13%
2-40.95%
3-40.28%
0-50.78%
1-50.70%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
Score01234
0
30.97%
23.48%
8.90%
2.25%
0.43%
1
12.82%
9.72%
3.68%
0.93%
0.18%
2
2.65%
2.01%
0.76%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.37%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-012.82%
2-02.65%
2-12.01%
3-00.37%
3-10.28%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.97%
1-19.72%
2-20.76%
West Bromwich Albion
0-123.48%
0-28.90%
1-23.68%
0-32.25%
1-30.93%
2-30.19%
0-40.43%
1-40.18%