Brentford at Derby County

Updated

Brentford

49.7%24.3%26.0%
Brentford WinDrawDerby County Win
1.67Projected Goals 0.87
2Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Brentford
Money Line
W 1-0 at Blackburn+125
L 0-1 at Norwich City+250
W 1-2 vs Stoke City-120
W 0-3 vs Sheffield Wednesday-140
L 0-2 at Coventry City-125
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Millwall+165
T 0-0 at Barnsley+375
L 0-1 at Coventry City+205
L 0-4 at Cardiff City+290
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford+100+108+105+102+108+102+108-
Derby County+270+291+275+300+271+300+300-
Draw+240+216+225+225+225+225+225-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brentford-105----125-105-105-
Derby County+300---+280+320+320-
Draw+245---+225+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +100 to -103
Derby County ML moved from +282 to +271

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brentford: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brentford: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brentford ML moved from +105 to -105
Derby County ML moved from +300 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2-122o2-120o2-114-o2-114o2-114-
Underu2½-130u2+100u2+100u2-106-u2-106u2+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.90%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 413.67%
Exactly 62.94%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.05%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 56.94%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 018.91%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 314.56%
Exactly 46.06%
Exactly 52.02%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 041.77%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.92%
Exactly 34.63%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.87%
Exactly 221.32%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 046.24%
Exactly 135.66%
Exactly 213.75%
Exactly 33.54%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 066.75%
Exactly 126.98%
Exactly 25.45%
Exactly 30.73%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals30.75%
Wins by 3+ goals13.42%
Wins by 4+ goals4.77%
Wins by 5+ goals1.41%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.28%
Wins by 3+ goals1.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Brentford
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal25.34%
Wins by 2 goals17.33%
Wins by 3 goals8.64%
Wins by 4 goals3.36%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.28%
Wins by 2 goals4.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.10%7.90%
1.572.06%27.94%
2.546.61%53.39%
3.525.07%74.93%
4.511.41%88.59%
5.54.47%95.53%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.09%18.91%
1.549.60%50.40%
2.523.38%76.62%
3.58.81%91.19%
4.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.23%41.77%
1.521.77%78.23%
2.55.85%94.15%
3.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.13%30.87%
1.532.85%67.15%
2.511.52%88.48%
3.53.17%96.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brentford
Derby County
Score01234
0
7.90%
6.89%
3.01%
0.88%
0.19%
1
13.15%
11.48%
5.01%
1.46%
0.32%
2
10.95%
9.56%
4.17%
1.21%
0.27%
3
6.08%
5.31%
2.32%
0.67%
0.15%
4
2.53%
2.21%
0.97%
0.28%
0.06%
5
0.84%
0.74%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
Brentford
1-013.15%
2-010.95%
2-19.56%
3-06.08%
3-15.31%
3-22.32%
4-02.53%
4-12.21%
4-20.97%
4-30.28%
5-00.84%
5-10.74%
5-20.32%
Draw
0-07.90%
1-111.48%
2-24.17%
3-30.67%
Derby County
0-16.89%
0-23.01%
1-25.01%
0-30.88%
1-31.46%
2-31.21%
0-40.19%
1-40.32%
2-40.27%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Brentford
Derby County
Score0123
0
30.87%
12.48%
2.52%
0.34%
1
23.81%
9.62%
1.94%
0.26%
2
9.18%
3.71%
0.75%
0.10%
3
2.36%
0.95%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.45%
0.18%
0.04%
0.01%
Brentford
1-023.81%
2-09.18%
2-13.71%
3-02.36%
3-10.95%
3-20.19%
4-00.45%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-030.87%
1-19.62%
2-20.75%
Derby County
0-112.48%
0-22.52%
1-21.94%
0-30.34%
1-30.26%
2-30.10%