Watford at Leicester City

Updated

Watford

29.3%25.4%45.3%
Watford WinDrawLeicester City Win
1.17Projected Goals 1.52
2Final Score 1

Leicester City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Stoke City+105
T 2-2 at Wrexham+150
T 1-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday-180
W 2-3 vs Norwich City-120
L 1-2 at Birmingham City+345
Leicester City
Money Line
L 1-4 at Queens Park Rangers+185
W 1-3 vs Ipswich Town+235
T 2-2 at Bristol City+215
W 3-1 at Derby County+165
L 3-2 vs Sheffield United+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+200+210+195+185+185+185+210+208.3
Leicester City+125+132+122+129+129+129+132+147.7
Draw+220+250+235+240+240+240+250+267.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+215----+215+215+208.3
Leicester City+130----+130+130+147.7
Draw+235----+235+235+267.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Leicester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Leicester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +212 to +200
Leicester City ML moved from +134 to +126

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Leicester City: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 30.0%
Leicester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
No Steam Moves On Leicester City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-114o2½-118o2½-115o2½-115o2½-115o2½-114o2½-104
Underu2½-112u2½+101u2½-102u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½+101u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.9%
 
No46.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.79%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 414.81%
Exactly 63.57%
Exactly 80.46%
 
Exactly 118.26%
Exactly 322.02%
Exactly 57.97%
Exactly 71.37%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 031.00%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Leicester City
Exactly 021.89%
Exactly 133.25%
Exactly 225.26%
Exactly 312.79%
Exactly 44.86%
Exactly 51.48%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.78%
Exactly 222.32%
Exactly 42.89%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.84%
Exactly 39.27%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 058.15%
Exactly 131.53%
Exactly 28.55%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leicester City
Exactly 049.49%
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 212.24%
Exactly 32.87%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals11.82%
Wins by 3+ goals3.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.19%
Leicester City
Wins by 2+ goals22.54%
Wins by 3+ goals8.90%
Wins by 4+ goals2.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Leicester City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal17.45%
Wins by 2 goals8.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.78%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%
Leicester City
Wins by 1 goal22.64%
Wins by 2 goals13.64%
Wins by 3 goals6.07%
Wins by 4 goals2.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.21%6.79%
1.574.96%25.04%
2.550.40%49.60%
3.528.38%71.62%
4.513.57%86.43%
5.55.60%94.40%
6.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.00%31.00%
1.532.69%67.31%
2.511.43%88.57%
3.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Leicester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.11%21.89%
1.544.86%55.14%
2.519.60%80.40%
3.56.81%93.19%
4.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.22%28.78%
1.535.38%64.62%
2.513.05%86.95%
3.53.79%96.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Leicester City
Score012345
0
6.79%
10.31%
7.83%
3.97%
1.51%
0.46%
1
7.95%
12.07%
9.17%
4.64%
1.76%
0.54%
2
4.65%
7.07%
5.37%
2.72%
1.03%
0.31%
3
1.82%
2.76%
2.10%
1.06%
0.40%
0.12%
4
0.53%
0.81%
0.61%
0.31%
0.12%
0.04%
5
0.12%
0.19%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-07.95%
2-04.65%
2-17.07%
3-01.82%
3-12.76%
3-22.10%
4-00.53%
4-10.81%
4-20.61%
4-30.31%
5-00.12%
5-10.19%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-06.79%
1-112.07%
2-25.37%
3-31.06%
4-40.12%
Leicester City
0-110.31%
0-27.83%
1-29.17%
0-33.97%
1-34.64%
2-32.72%
0-41.51%
1-41.76%
2-41.03%
3-40.40%
0-50.46%
1-50.54%
2-50.31%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Leicester City
Score01234
0
28.78%
20.24%
7.12%
1.67%
0.29%
1
15.60%
10.98%
3.86%
0.90%
0.16%
2
4.23%
2.98%
1.05%
0.25%
0.04%
3
0.76%
0.54%
0.19%
0.04%
0.01%
4
0.10%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-015.60%
2-04.23%
2-12.98%
3-00.76%
3-10.54%
3-20.19%
4-00.10%
Draw
0-028.78%
1-110.98%
2-21.05%
Leicester City
0-120.24%
0-27.12%
1-23.86%
0-31.67%
1-30.90%
2-30.25%
0-40.29%
1-40.16%