Stoke City at Watford

Updated

Stoke City

26.2%27.1%46.7%
Stoke City WinDrawWatford Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.39

Watford

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Swansea City-125
L 0-1 at Ipswich Town+460
L 0-4 at Sheffield United+270
L 2-1 vs Hull City-140
W 0-3 vs Charlton Athletic-150
Watford
Money Line
T 2-2 at Wrexham+150
T 1-1 vs Sheffield Wednesday-180
W 2-3 vs Norwich City-120
L 1-2 at Birmingham City+345
T 1-1 vs Preston North End-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+235+250+240+220-+215+250+242.7
Watford+107+109+103+111-+108+109+126.3
Draw+230+245+235+245-+245+245+275.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+250----+250+250+242.7
Watford+110----+110+110+126.3
Draw+245----+245+245+275.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +230 to +215
Watford ML moved from +119 to +107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 30.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-103o2½-105o2½-109-o2½-109o2½-103o2½+101
Underu2½-115u2½-114u2½-115u2½-111-u2½-111u2½-111u2½-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+101
Under-----u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.41%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 412.23%
Exactly 62.28%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.24%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 55.78%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 037.89%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.84%
Exactly 35.77%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 024.84%
Exactly 134.59%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 311.19%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.48%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 42.00%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 063.80%
Exactly 128.67%
Exactly 26.44%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 052.47%
Exactly 133.84%
Exactly 210.91%
Exactly 32.35%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals9.29%
Wins by 3+ goals2.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals22.40%
Wins by 3+ goals8.40%
Wins by 4+ goals2.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal16.86%
Wins by 2 goals6.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.20%
Wins by 2 goals14.00%
Wins by 3 goals5.88%
Wins by 4 goals1.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.59%9.41%
1.568.35%31.65%
2.542.07%57.93%
3.521.37%78.63%
4.59.13%90.87%
5.53.35%96.65%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.11%37.89%
1.525.34%74.66%
2.57.50%92.50%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.16%24.84%
1.540.57%59.43%
2.516.48%83.52%
3.55.29%94.71%
4.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.52%33.48%
1.529.89%70.11%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Watford
Score012345
0
9.41%
13.11%
9.13%
4.24%
1.48%
0.41%
1
9.13%
12.72%
8.86%
4.11%
1.43%
0.40%
2
4.43%
6.17%
4.30%
2.00%
0.70%
0.19%
3
1.43%
2.00%
1.39%
0.65%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.35%
0.48%
0.34%
0.16%
0.05%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-09.13%
2-04.43%
2-16.17%
3-01.43%
3-12.00%
3-21.39%
4-00.35%
4-10.48%
4-20.34%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.41%
1-112.72%
2-24.30%
3-30.65%
Watford
0-113.11%
0-29.13%
1-28.86%
0-34.24%
1-34.11%
2-32.00%
0-41.48%
1-41.43%
2-40.70%
3-40.22%
0-50.41%
1-50.40%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Watford
Score01234
0
33.48%
21.59%
6.96%
1.50%
0.24%
1
15.04%
9.70%
3.13%
0.67%
0.11%
2
3.38%
2.18%
0.70%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.51%
0.33%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-015.04%
2-03.38%
2-12.18%
3-00.51%
3-10.33%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.48%
1-19.70%
2-20.70%
Watford
0-121.59%
0-26.96%
1-23.13%
0-31.50%
1-30.67%
2-30.15%
0-40.24%
1-40.11%
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