Derby County at Plymouth Argyle

Updated

Derby County

27.6%26.5%45.9%
Derby County WinDrawPlymouth Argyle Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.44
3Final Score 2

Plymouth Argyle

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Coventry City+260
W 1-2 vs Blackburn+185
L 0-1 at Middlesbrough+425
L 1-0 vs Millwall+145
L 0-4 at Queens Park Rangers+280
Plymouth Argyle
Money Line
W 2-1 at Portsmouth+525
L 3-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+335
L 0-2 at Hull City+480
T 1-1 vs Cardiff City+165
T 1-1 at Luton Town+430

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+150+154+155+144+147+144+155+164.9
Plymouth Argyle+175+222+205+215+221+215+222+242.0
Draw+220+197+175+179+192+179+197+202.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+130---+135+170+170+164.9
Plymouth Argyle+185---+180+205+205+242.0
Draw+195---+190+185+190+202.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +151 to +142
Plymouth Argyle ML moved from +199 to +191

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Plymouth Argyle: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 30.0%
Plymouth Argyle: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Plymouth Argyle ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102o2+118o1¾-120o2+110o1¾-119o2+110o2+118o2+119
Underu2½-122u2-139u1¾+100u2-130u1¾-101u2-130u2-130u2-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+119
Under-----u2-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.33%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 413.24%
Exactly 62.73%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.71%
Exactly 321.31%
Exactly 56.58%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 035.00%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 023.81%
Exactly 134.17%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 311.73%
Exactly 44.21%
Exactly 51.21%
Exactly 60.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.65%
Exactly 220.95%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.51%
Exactly 129.89%
Exactly 27.26%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Plymouth Argyle
Exactly 051.45%
Exactly 134.19%
Exactly 211.36%
Exactly 32.52%
Exactly 40.42%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals10.31%
Wins by 3+ goals2.94%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 2+ goals22.30%
Wins by 3+ goals8.51%
Wins by 4+ goals2.60%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Plymouth Argyle
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal17.21%
Wins by 2 goals7.37%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Plymouth Argyle
Wins by 1 goal23.54%
Wins by 2 goals13.79%
Wins by 3 goals5.91%
Wins by 4 goals1.97%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.67%8.33%
1.570.96%29.04%
2.545.23%54.77%
3.523.92%76.08%
4.510.68%89.32%
5.54.10%95.90%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.00%35.00%
1.528.25%71.75%
2.58.97%91.03%
3.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Plymouth Argyle Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.19%23.81%
1.542.03%57.97%
2.517.51%82.49%
3.55.78%94.22%
4.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.35%31.65%
1.531.94%68.06%
2.511.00%89.00%
3.52.96%97.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Plymouth Argyle
Score012345
0
8.33%
11.96%
8.58%
4.11%
1.47%
0.42%
1
8.75%
12.55%
9.01%
4.31%
1.55%
0.44%
2
4.59%
6.59%
4.73%
2.26%
0.81%
0.23%
3
1.61%
2.31%
1.65%
0.79%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.42%
0.61%
0.43%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-08.75%
2-04.59%
2-16.59%
3-01.61%
3-12.31%
3-21.65%
4-00.42%
4-10.61%
4-20.43%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-08.33%
1-112.55%
2-24.73%
3-30.79%
Plymouth Argyle
0-111.96%
0-28.58%
1-29.01%
0-34.11%
1-34.31%
2-32.26%
0-41.47%
1-41.55%
2-40.81%
3-40.28%
0-50.42%
1-50.44%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Plymouth Argyle
Score01234
0
31.65%
21.03%
6.99%
1.55%
0.26%
1
15.38%
10.22%
3.40%
0.75%
0.12%
2
3.74%
2.48%
0.83%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.61%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Derby County
1-015.38%
2-03.74%
2-12.48%
3-00.61%
3-10.40%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.65%
1-110.22%
2-20.83%
Plymouth Argyle
0-121.03%
0-26.99%
1-23.40%
0-31.55%
1-30.75%
2-30.18%
0-40.26%
1-40.12%
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