Derby County at QPR

Updated

Derby County

23.7%25.3%50.9%
Derby County WinDrawQPR Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.57
0Final Score 4

Queens Park Rangers

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Oxford United+120
T 1-1 at Norwich City+375
L 1-0 vs Sheffield United+270
L 1-2 at Cardiff City+305
L 1-0 vs Sunderland+290
Queens Park Rangers
Money Line
L 0-1 at Coventry City+305
W 1-2 vs Blackburn+165
L 1-2 at Millwall+255
L 2-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+145
W 2-1 at Hull City+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+200+309+295+280+300+280+309+313.6
QPR+125+105+105+101+100+101+105+118.8
Draw+235+226+205+205+222+205+226+232.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+210---+260+280+280+313.6
QPR+110----110+110+110+118.8
Draw+205---+210+220+220+232.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
QPR: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
QPR: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +290 to +280
QPR ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
QPR: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
QPR: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
QPR: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
QPR ML moved from +110 to -110

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2-110o2-115o2-123o2-117o2-123o2-110o2-112
Underu2¼-105u2-106u2-105u2+103u2-103u2+103u2+103u2+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-112
Under-----u2+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.79%
Exactly 225.37%
Exactly 413.78%
Exactly 62.99%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.88%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 57.03%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 037.37%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.11%
Exactly 35.94%
Exactly 41.46%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 020.84%
Exactly 132.68%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 313.40%
Exactly 45.25%
Exactly 51.65%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.67%
Exactly 221.42%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 38.44%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 063.39%
Exactly 128.89%
Exactly 26.58%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Queens Park Rangers
Exactly 048.38%
Exactly 135.13%
Exactly 212.75%
Exactly 33.09%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals8.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 2+ goals26.41%
Wins by 3+ goals10.85%
Wins by 4+ goals3.58%
Wins by 5+ goals0.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal15.32%
Wins by 2 goals6.13%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Queens Park Rangers
Wins by 1 goal24.40%
Wins by 2 goals15.56%
Wins by 3 goals7.26%
Wins by 4 goals2.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.21%7.79%
1.572.34%27.66%
2.546.97%53.03%
3.525.38%74.62%
4.511.60%88.40%
5.54.56%95.44%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.63%37.37%
1.525.85%74.15%
2.57.75%92.25%
3.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Queens Park Rangers Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.16%20.84%
1.546.48%53.52%
2.520.85%79.15%
3.57.45%92.55%
4.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.33%30.67%
1.533.08%66.92%
2.511.66%88.34%
3.53.22%96.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
Score012345
0
7.79%
12.21%
9.58%
5.01%
1.96%
0.62%
1
7.67%
12.02%
9.43%
4.93%
1.93%
0.61%
2
3.77%
5.92%
4.64%
2.43%
0.95%
0.30%
3
1.24%
1.94%
1.52%
0.80%
0.31%
0.10%
4
0.30%
0.48%
0.37%
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
Derby County
1-07.67%
2-03.77%
2-15.92%
3-01.24%
3-11.94%
3-21.52%
4-00.30%
4-10.48%
4-20.37%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-07.79%
1-112.02%
2-24.64%
3-30.80%
Queens Park Rangers
0-112.21%
0-29.58%
1-29.43%
0-35.01%
1-34.93%
2-32.43%
0-41.96%
1-41.93%
2-40.95%
3-40.31%
0-50.62%
1-50.61%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Queens Park Rangers
Score01234
0
30.67%
22.27%
8.09%
1.96%
0.36%
1
13.98%
10.15%
3.69%
0.89%
0.16%
2
3.19%
2.31%
0.84%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.48%
0.35%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-013.98%
2-03.19%
2-12.31%
3-00.48%
3-10.35%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-030.67%
1-110.15%
2-20.84%
Queens Park Rangers
0-122.27%
0-28.09%
1-23.69%
0-31.96%
1-30.89%
2-30.20%
0-40.36%
1-40.16%