Middlesbrough at Luton Town

Updated

Middlesbrough

31.0%27.8%41.3%
Middlesbrough WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.08Projected Goals 1.28
0Final Score 0

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Queens Park Rangers-120
L 0-1 at Swansea City+160
W 0-1 vs Derby County-155
W 3-1 at Stoke City+120
L 1-2 at Bristol City+210
Luton Town
Money Line
W 2-1 at Cardiff City+220
L 0-4 at Burnley+525
W 0-1 vs Portsmouth+110
L 0-2 at Watford+210
T 1-1 vs Plymouth Argyle-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+150+168+160+150+152+150+168+170.1
Luton Town+175+167+160+156+170+156+170+176.6
Draw+225+242+225+245+242+245+245+272.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+150---+150+165+165+170.1
Luton Town+150---+150+160+160+176.6
Draw+205---+205+245+245+272.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Luton Town: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +169 to +152
Luton Town ML moved from +169 to +153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Middlesbrough: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-103o2½-108o2½-104o2½-105o2½-104o2½-103o2½+105
Underu2½+102u2½-114u2½-112u2½-116u2½-115u2½-116u2½-112u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+105
Under-----u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½+100 to u2¼+118

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.47%
Exactly 226.31%
Exactly 412.18%
Exactly 62.25%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.33%
Exactly 320.67%
Exactly 55.74%
Exactly 70.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 034.22%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.68%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 41.89%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 027.69%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 222.83%
Exactly 39.77%
Exactly 43.14%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.58%
Exactly 219.99%
Exactly 41.98%
 
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 37.27%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 060.86%
Exactly 130.22%
Exactly 27.50%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 055.18%
Exactly 132.81%
Exactly 29.75%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals11.91%
Wins by 3+ goals3.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.78%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals18.54%
Wins by 3+ goals6.47%
Wins by 4+ goals1.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal18.96%
Wins by 2 goals8.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.71%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal22.70%
Wins by 2 goals12.07%
Wins by 3 goals4.67%
Wins by 4 goals1.40%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.53%9.47%
1.568.20%31.80%
2.541.89%58.11%
3.521.23%78.77%
4.59.05%90.95%
5.53.31%96.69%
6.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.78%34.22%
1.529.09%70.91%
2.59.41%90.59%
3.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.31%27.69%
1.536.76%63.24%
2.513.93%86.07%
3.54.15%95.85%
4.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.42%33.58%
1.529.77%70.23%
2.59.78%90.22%
3.52.51%97.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Luton Town
Score012345
0
9.47%
12.17%
7.81%
3.34%
1.07%
0.28%
1
10.16%
13.05%
8.38%
3.59%
1.15%
0.30%
2
5.45%
7.00%
4.49%
1.92%
0.62%
0.16%
3
1.95%
2.50%
1.61%
0.69%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.52%
0.67%
0.43%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.11%
0.14%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-010.16%
2-05.45%
2-17.00%
3-01.95%
3-12.50%
3-21.61%
4-00.52%
4-10.67%
4-20.43%
4-30.18%
5-00.11%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-09.47%
1-113.05%
2-24.49%
3-30.69%
Luton Town
0-112.17%
0-27.81%
1-28.38%
0-33.34%
1-33.59%
2-31.92%
0-41.07%
1-41.15%
2-40.62%
3-40.22%
0-50.28%
1-50.30%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Luton Town
Score01234
0
33.58%
19.97%
5.94%
1.18%
0.17%
1
16.68%
9.92%
2.95%
0.58%
0.09%
2
4.14%
2.46%
0.73%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.69%
0.41%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-016.68%
2-04.14%
2-12.46%
3-00.69%
3-10.41%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.58%
1-19.92%
2-20.73%
Luton Town
0-119.97%
0-25.94%
1-22.95%
0-31.18%
1-30.58%
2-30.15%
0-40.17%
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