Hull City at Derby County

Updated

Hull City

32.0%28.4%39.6%
Hull City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.22
1Final Score 2

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Hull City
Money Line
W 2-0 at Norwich City+240
T 1-1 vs Charlton Athletic+150
W 1-2 vs Leicester City+240
W 3-2 at Birmingham City+350
W 0-1 vs Sheffield United+145
Derby County
Money Line
W 3-1 at Sheffield United+380
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+180
W 0-1 vs Norwich City+150
L 0-1 at Oxford United+215
T 1-1 vs Southampton+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hull City+202+248+240+225+225+225+248+251.1
Derby County+139+119+107+113+113+113+119+130.1
Draw+244+237+225+230+230+230+237+256.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Hull City+170---+210+250+250+251.1
Derby County+120---+100+115+115+130.1
Draw+230---+225+235+235+256.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hull City: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hull City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Hull City ML moved from +235 to +225
Derby County ML moved from +113 to +107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Hull City: 20.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Hull City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Hull City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Hull City ML
Derby County ML moved from +120 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+106o2½+107o2¼-125o2½+101o2½+101o2½+101o2¼-125o2½+110
Underu2½-124u2½-125u2¼+105u2½-121u2½-121u2½-121u2½-121u2½-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+110
Under-----u2½-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.20%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 411.54%
Exactly 62.00%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.29%
Exactly 320.22%
Exactly 55.27%
Exactly 70.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Hull City
Exactly 034.50%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 029.57%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 38.91%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.75%
Exactly 219.41%
Exactly 41.81%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.84%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hull City
Exactly 061.10%
Exactly 130.10%
Exactly 27.42%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 056.89%
Exactly 132.09%
Exactly 29.05%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Hull City
Wins by 2+ goals12.32%
Wins by 3+ goals3.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals17.17%
Wins by 3+ goals5.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Hull City
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Hull City
Wins by 1 goal19.59%
Wins by 2 goals8.71%
Wins by 3 goals2.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.43%
Wins by 2 goals11.42%
Wins by 3 goals4.21%
Wins by 4 goals1.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.80%10.20%
1.566.51%33.49%
2.539.93%60.07%
3.519.71%80.29%
4.58.17%91.83%
5.52.91%97.09%

Total Goals Hull City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.50%34.50%
1.528.78%71.22%
2.59.25%90.75%
3.52.32%97.68%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.43%29.57%
1.534.40%65.60%
2.512.45%87.55%
3.53.54%96.46%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.25%34.75%
1.528.51%71.49%
2.59.11%90.89%
3.52.27%97.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Hull City
Derby County
Score012345
0
10.20%
12.43%
7.57%
3.08%
0.94%
0.23%
1
10.86%
13.23%
8.06%
3.27%
1.00%
0.24%
2
5.78%
7.04%
4.29%
1.74%
0.53%
0.13%
3
2.05%
2.50%
1.52%
0.62%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.55%
0.66%
0.40%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.14%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Hull City
1-010.86%
2-05.78%
2-17.04%
3-02.05%
3-12.50%
3-21.52%
4-00.55%
4-10.66%
4-20.40%
4-30.16%
5-00.12%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-010.20%
1-113.23%
2-24.29%
3-30.62%
Derby County
0-112.43%
0-27.57%
1-28.06%
0-33.08%
1-33.27%
2-31.74%
0-40.94%
1-41.00%
2-40.53%
3-40.19%
0-50.23%
1-50.24%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Hull City
Derby County
Score01234
0
34.75%
19.61%
5.53%
1.04%
0.15%
1
17.12%
9.66%
2.72%
0.51%
0.07%
2
4.22%
2.38%
0.67%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.69%
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Hull City
1-017.12%
2-04.22%
2-12.38%
3-00.69%
3-10.39%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-034.75%
1-19.66%
2-20.67%
Derby County
0-119.61%
0-25.53%
1-22.72%
0-31.04%
1-30.51%
2-30.13%
0-40.15%
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