Norwich City at Derby County

Updated

Norwich City

31.4%29.1%39.5%
Norwich City WinDrawDerby County Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.17
0Final Score 1

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Norwich City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Bristol City+150
L 1-3 at Ipswich Town+510
L 1-0 vs West Bromwich Albion+240
T 1-1 at Stoke City+285
L 3-2 vs Wrexham+110
Derby County
Money Line
L 0-1 at Oxford United+215
T 1-1 vs Southampton+245
T 1-1 vs Charlton Athletic+180
T 1-1 at Wrexham+260
L 1-0 vs Preston North End+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+202+218+212+196+196+196+218+219.9
Derby County+143+135+120+138+138+138+138+157.2
Draw+235+233+220+210+210+210+233+235.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Norwich City+200---+195+190+195+219.9
Derby County+145---+125+150+150+157.2
Draw+225---+190+225+225+235.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Norwich City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Norwich City ML moved from +205 to +196
Derby County ML moved from +125 to +117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Norwich City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Norwich City: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Norwich City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Norwich City: 0.0%
Derby County: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Norwich City ML moved from +210 to +200
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114o2½+106o2½+105o2¼-125o2¼-125o2¼-125o2¼-125o2¼-114
Underu2½-134u2½-124u2½-125u2¼+105u2¼+105u2¼+105u2½-124u2¼+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-114
Under-----u2¼+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.0%
 
No56.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.24%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.69%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.57%
Exactly 319.56%
Exactly 54.67%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Norwich City
Exactly 036.32%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.63%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 030.95%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 221.29%
Exactly 38.32%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.35%
Exactly 218.61%
Exactly 41.59%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.28%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Norwich City
Exactly 062.57%
Exactly 129.34%
Exactly 26.88%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 058.10%
Exactly 131.55%
Exactly 28.57%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Norwich City
Wins by 2+ goals11.71%
Wins by 3+ goals3.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.71%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals16.73%
Wins by 3+ goals5.44%
Wins by 4+ goals1.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Norwich City
Derby County
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Norwich City
Wins by 1 goal19.62%
Wins by 2 goals8.41%
Wins by 3 goals2.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.61%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal22.73%
Wins by 2 goals11.29%
Wins by 3 goals4.03%
Wins by 4 goals1.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.76%11.24%
1.564.19%35.81%
2.537.34%62.66%
3.517.78%82.22%
4.57.09%92.91%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Norwich City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.68%36.32%
1.526.89%73.11%
2.58.27%91.73%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.05%30.95%
1.532.76%67.24%
2.511.47%88.53%
3.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.65%36.35%
1.526.86%73.14%
2.58.25%91.75%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Norwich City
Derby County
Score012345
0
11.24%
13.18%
7.73%
3.02%
0.89%
0.21%
1
11.38%
13.35%
7.83%
3.06%
0.90%
0.21%
2
5.76%
6.76%
3.96%
1.55%
0.45%
0.11%
3
1.95%
2.28%
1.34%
0.52%
0.15%
0.04%
4
0.49%
0.58%
0.34%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Norwich City
1-011.38%
2-05.76%
2-16.76%
3-01.95%
3-12.28%
3-21.34%
4-00.49%
4-10.58%
4-20.34%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-011.24%
1-113.35%
2-23.96%
3-30.52%
Derby County
0-113.18%
0-27.73%
1-27.83%
0-33.02%
1-33.06%
2-31.55%
0-40.89%
1-40.90%
2-40.45%
3-40.15%
0-50.21%
1-50.21%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Norwich City
Derby County
Score01234
0
36.35%
19.74%
5.36%
0.97%
0.13%
1
17.04%
9.26%
2.51%
0.45%
0.06%
2
4.00%
2.17%
0.59%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.62%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Norwich City
1-017.04%
2-04.00%
2-12.17%
3-00.62%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-036.35%
1-19.26%
2-20.59%
Derby County
0-119.74%
0-25.36%
1-22.51%
0-30.97%
1-30.45%
2-30.11%
0-40.13%
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