Sheffield Utd at Derby County

Updated

Sheffield United

45.5%28.0%26.5%
Sheffield Utd WinDrawDerby County Win
1.32Projected Goals 0.94
1Final Score 0

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Sheffield United
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Hull City-145
W 2-1 at Swansea City+180
W 0-2 vs Norwich City+100
W 2-1 at Watford+175
L 1-2 at Sunderland+260
Derby County
Money Line
L 1-2 at Cardiff City+305
L 1-0 vs Sunderland+290
L 2-0 vs Watford+110
L 0-1 at Bristol City+360
L 2-4 at Sheffield Wednesday+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Utd+120+117+115+119+112+119+119+137.0
Derby County+215+255+245+210+245+210+255+235.5
Draw+225+236+215+230+235+230+236+257.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sheffield Utd+115---+100+110+110+137.0
Derby County+255---+230+270+270+235.5
Draw+230---+210+230+230+257.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Utd: 10.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sheffield Utd: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Derby County: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sheffield Utd ML moved from +120 to +114
Derby County ML moved from +251 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Derby County: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sheffield Utd: 0.0%
Derby County: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sheffield Utd ML
No Steam Moves On Derby County ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2½+117o2¼-108o2¼-111o2¼-113o2¼-111o2¼-108o2¼-101
Underu2¼-120u2½-138u2¼-112u2¼-109u2¼-107u2¼-109u2½-138u2¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-101
Under-----u2¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.48%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 411.31%
Exactly 61.92%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.64%
Exactly 320.05%
Exactly 55.10%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Sheffield United
Exactly 026.73%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 223.27%
Exactly 310.23%
Exactly 43.38%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 039.21%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.18%
Exactly 35.36%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.19%
Exactly 219.19%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.68%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sheffield United
Exactly 054.28%
Exactly 133.16%
Exactly 210.13%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 064.83%
Exactly 128.10%
Exactly 26.09%
Exactly 30.88%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sheffield United
Wins by 2+ goals21.11%
Wins by 3+ goals7.60%
Wins by 4+ goals2.18%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.21%
Wins by 3+ goals2.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Sheffield United
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sheffield United
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals13.51%
Wins by 3 goals5.42%
Wins by 4 goals1.68%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal17.26%
Wins by 2 goals6.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.93%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.52%10.48%
1.565.88%34.12%
2.539.22%60.78%
3.519.17%80.83%
4.57.87%92.13%
5.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Sheffield United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.27%26.73%
1.538.01%61.99%
2.514.74%85.26%
3.54.51%95.49%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.79%39.21%
1.524.08%75.92%
2.56.90%93.10%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.81%35.19%
1.528.06%71.94%
2.58.87%91.13%
3.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sheffield Utd
Derby County
Score01234
0
10.48%
9.81%
4.59%
1.43%
0.34%
1
13.83%
12.95%
6.06%
1.89%
0.44%
2
9.12%
8.54%
4.00%
1.25%
0.29%
3
4.01%
3.76%
1.76%
0.55%
0.13%
4
1.32%
1.24%
0.58%
0.18%
0.04%
5
0.35%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Sheffield United
1-013.83%
2-09.12%
2-18.54%
3-04.01%
3-13.76%
3-21.76%
4-01.32%
4-11.24%
4-20.58%
4-30.18%
5-00.35%
5-10.33%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-010.48%
1-112.95%
2-24.00%
3-30.55%
Derby County
0-19.81%
0-24.59%
1-26.06%
0-31.43%
1-31.89%
2-31.25%
0-40.34%
1-40.44%
2-40.29%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Sheffield Utd
Derby County
Score0123
0
35.19%
15.25%
3.31%
0.48%
1
21.50%
9.32%
2.02%
0.29%
2
6.57%
2.85%
0.62%
0.09%
3
1.34%
0.58%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.20%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sheffield United
1-021.50%
2-06.57%
2-12.85%
3-01.34%
3-10.58%
3-20.13%
4-00.20%
Draw
0-035.19%
1-19.32%
2-20.62%
Derby County
0-115.25%
0-23.31%
1-22.02%
0-30.48%
1-30.29%
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