Derby County at Hull City

Updated

Derby County

16.9%22.3%60.8%
WinDrawHull City Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.85
1Final Score 0

Hull City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 3-1 at West Bromwich Albion+355
L 1-0 vs Luton Town+150
T 2-2 at Portsmouth+225
T 0-0 vs Burnley+390
L 0-1 at Swansea City+315
Hull City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Preston North End-105
L 0-1 at Swansea City+210
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+170
L 0-1 at Watford+200
W 1-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+215+250+235+220+248+220+250+245.2
Hull City+134+133+135+136+127+136+136+154.6
Draw+200+207+185+192+201+192+207+215.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+225---+205+255+255+245.2
Hull City+140---+120+135+135+154.6
Draw+205---+190+190+190+215.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Hull City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 10.0%
Hull City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +230 to +205
Hull City ML moved from +133 to +122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Hull City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Hull City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Hull City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Hull City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110o2-102o2-102o2-115o2-103o2-115o2-102o2-104
Underu2-110u2-115u2-118u2-105u2-117u2-105u2-105u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.73%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 414.88%
Exactly 63.61%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.15%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 58.03%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 042.61%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.51%
Exactly 34.41%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Hull City
Exactly 015.78%
Exactly 129.14%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 316.55%
Exactly 47.64%
Exactly 52.82%
Exactly 60.87%
Exactly 70.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.66%
Exactly 222.38%
Exactly 42.91%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 39.32%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 067.37%
Exactly 126.61%
Exactly 25.26%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Hull City
Exactly 042.54%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 215.54%
Exactly 34.43%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals5.25%
Wins by 3+ goals1.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Hull City
Wins by 2+ goals35.63%
Wins by 3+ goals16.84%
Wins by 4+ goals6.53%
Wins by 5+ goals2.10%
Wins by 6+ goals0.55%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Hull City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal11.61%
Wins by 2 goals4.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Hull City
Wins by 1 goal25.13%
Wins by 2 goals18.80%
Wins by 3 goals10.31%
Wins by 4 goals4.43%
Wins by 5 goals1.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.27%6.73%
1.575.12%24.88%
2.550.62%49.38%
3.528.57%71.43%
4.513.70%86.30%
5.55.67%94.33%
6.52.05%97.95%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.39%42.61%
1.521.04%78.96%
2.55.54%94.46%
3.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Hull City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.22%15.78%
1.555.08%44.92%
2.528.18%71.82%
3.511.62%88.38%
4.53.98%96.02%
5.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.34%28.66%
1.535.53%64.47%
2.513.15%86.85%
3.53.82%96.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Hull City
Score012345
0
6.73%
12.42%
11.46%
7.05%
3.26%
1.20%
1
5.74%
10.59%
9.78%
6.02%
2.78%
1.03%
2
2.45%
4.52%
4.17%
2.57%
1.18%
0.44%
3
0.70%
1.28%
1.19%
0.73%
0.34%
0.12%
4
0.15%
0.27%
0.25%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
Derby County
1-05.74%
2-02.45%
2-14.52%
3-00.70%
3-11.28%
3-21.19%
4-00.15%
4-10.27%
4-20.25%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.73%
1-110.59%
2-24.17%
3-30.73%
Hull City
0-112.42%
0-211.46%
1-29.78%
0-37.05%
1-36.02%
2-32.57%
0-43.26%
1-42.78%
2-41.18%
3-40.34%
0-51.20%
1-51.03%
2-50.44%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Hull City
Score012345
0
28.66%
24.49%
10.47%
2.98%
0.64%
0.11%
1
11.32%
9.68%
4.14%
1.18%
0.25%
0.04%
2
2.24%
1.91%
0.82%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.25%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-011.32%
2-02.24%
2-11.91%
3-00.29%
3-10.25%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-028.66%
1-19.68%
2-20.82%
Hull City
0-124.49%
0-210.47%
1-24.14%
0-32.98%
1-31.18%
2-30.23%
0-40.64%
1-40.25%
0-50.11%