Leeds United at Middlesbrough

Updated

Leeds United

36.7%27.6%35.7%
Leeds United WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.19
4Final Score 3

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Blackburn-340
T 0-0 vs Sunderland-300
L 1-2 at Coventry City-105
W 1-3 vs Hull City-265
T 2-2 at Watford-200
Middlesbrough
Money Line
T 1-1 at Ipswich Town+315
T 2-2 at Hull City+190
W 0-2 vs Swansea City-135
W 0-2 vs Sheffield Wednesday-125
T 1-1 at Southampton+420

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United-117-157-160-161-167-161-157-133.3
Middlesbrough+326+403+380+345+426+345+426+380.5
Draw+275+334+320+320+337+320+337+353.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United-120----170-160-160-133.3
Middlesbrough+325---+325+400+400+380.5
Draw+270---+280+325+325+353.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Middlesbrough: 80.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from -161 to -167
Middlesbrough ML moved from +390 to +370

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from -145 to -160
Middlesbrough ML moved from +330 to +320

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-113o3-104o3-108o3-111o3-107o3-111o3-104o3-101
Underu2½-103u3-112u3-112u3-109u3-111u3-109u3-109u3+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-101
Under-----u3+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-112 to o3-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.03%
Exactly 226.11%
Exactly 412.58%
Exactly 62.42%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.71%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 56.05%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 029.72%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 221.87%
Exactly 38.85%
Exactly 42.68%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 030.38%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 38.56%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.85%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.55%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 057.02%
Exactly 132.03%
Exactly 29.00%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 057.60%
Exactly 131.77%
Exactly 28.76%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals15.66%
Wins by 3+ goals5.17%
Wins by 4+ goals1.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals14.99%
Wins by 3+ goals4.87%
Wins by 4+ goals1.26%
Wins by 5+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Middlesbrough
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal21.03%
Wins by 2 goals10.48%
Wins by 3 goals3.81%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal20.65%
Wins by 2 goals10.11%
Wins by 3 goals3.61%
Wins by 4 goals1.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.97%9.03%
1.569.26%30.74%
2.543.15%56.85%
3.522.22%77.78%
4.59.65%90.35%
5.53.60%96.40%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.28%29.72%
1.534.21%65.79%
2.512.34%87.66%
3.53.49%96.51%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.62%30.38%
1.533.43%66.57%
2.511.87%88.13%
3.53.30%96.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.15%32.85%
1.530.59%69.41%
2.510.23%89.77%
3.52.67%97.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Middlesbrough
Score012345
0
9.03%
10.76%
6.41%
2.55%
0.76%
0.18%
1
10.95%
13.05%
7.78%
3.09%
0.92%
0.22%
2
6.65%
7.92%
4.72%
1.87%
0.56%
0.13%
3
2.69%
3.20%
1.91%
0.76%
0.23%
0.05%
4
0.82%
0.97%
0.58%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.20%
0.24%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-010.95%
2-06.65%
2-17.92%
3-02.69%
3-13.20%
3-21.91%
4-00.82%
4-10.97%
4-20.58%
4-30.23%
5-00.20%
5-10.24%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.03%
1-113.05%
2-24.72%
3-30.76%
Middlesbrough
0-110.76%
0-26.41%
1-27.78%
0-32.55%
1-33.09%
2-31.87%
0-40.76%
1-40.92%
2-40.56%
3-40.23%
0-50.18%
1-50.22%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
32.85%
18.12%
5.00%
0.92%
0.13%
1
18.45%
10.18%
2.81%
0.52%
0.07%
2
5.18%
2.86%
0.79%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.97%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-018.45%
2-05.18%
2-12.86%
3-00.97%
3-10.54%
3-20.15%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-032.85%
1-110.18%
2-20.79%
Middlesbrough
0-118.12%
0-25.00%
1-22.81%
0-30.92%
1-30.52%
2-30.14%
0-40.13%