Burnley at Millwall

Updated

Burnley

33.7%30.1%36.2%
Burnley WinDrawMillwall Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
W 1-0 at Luton Town+125
T 1-1 vs Watford-145
W 0-3 vs Preston North End-190
W 3-0 at Norwich City+180
W 1-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+120
Millwall
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Sheffield United+180
L 0-1 at Coventry City+185
W 2-1 at Queens Park Rangers+180
T 1-1 vs Sunderland+105
W 1-0 at Cardiff City+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+165+144+145+145+143+145+145+157.0
Millwall+172+227+220+223+218+223+227+238.8
Draw+240+208+190+202+217+202+217+216.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+145---+120+140+140+157.0
Millwall+205---+200+220+220+238.8
Draw+220---+195+210+210+216.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +149 to +143
Millwall ML moved from +234 to +227

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Millwall: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Burnley ML
Millwall ML moved from +230 to +220

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2-109o2-105o2-113o2½+172o2-113o2-138o2-103
Underu2½-111u2-107u2-115u2-107u2½-195u2-107u2½-150u2+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-103
Under-----u2+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-117 to u2+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.8%
 
No58.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.50%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 49.74%
Exactly 61.40%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.99%
Exactly 318.74%
Exactly 54.05%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 036.20%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.69%
Exactly 36.33%
Exactly 41.61%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 034.52%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.53%
Exactly 36.92%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.18%
Exactly 217.70%
Exactly 41.37%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.68%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 062.47%
Exactly 129.39%
Exactly 26.91%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 061.11%
Exactly 130.10%
Exactly 27.41%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals12.74%
Wins by 3+ goals3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals14.19%
Wins by 3+ goals4.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.95%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Millwall
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal20.91%
Wins by 2 goals9.11%
Wins by 3 goals2.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal21.89%
Wins by 2 goals9.99%
Wins by 3 goals3.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.81%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.50%12.50%
1.561.51%38.49%
2.534.49%65.51%
3.515.75%84.25%
4.56.01%93.99%
5.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.80%36.20%
1.527.01%72.99%
2.58.33%91.67%
3.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.48%34.52%
1.528.77%71.23%
2.59.24%90.76%
3.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.82%38.18%
1.525.06%74.94%
2.57.36%92.64%
3.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Millwall
Score012345
0
12.50%
13.29%
7.07%
2.51%
0.67%
0.14%
1
12.70%
13.51%
7.18%
2.55%
0.68%
0.14%
2
6.45%
6.86%
3.65%
1.29%
0.34%
0.07%
3
2.18%
2.32%
1.24%
0.44%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.55%
0.59%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Burnley
1-012.70%
2-06.45%
2-16.86%
3-02.18%
3-12.32%
3-21.24%
4-00.55%
4-10.59%
4-20.31%
4-30.11%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-012.50%
1-113.51%
2-23.65%
3-30.44%
Millwall
0-113.29%
0-27.07%
1-27.18%
0-32.51%
1-32.55%
2-31.29%
0-40.67%
1-40.68%
2-40.34%
3-40.12%
0-50.14%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Millwall
Score0123
0
38.18%
18.80%
4.63%
0.76%
1
17.96%
8.85%
2.18%
0.36%
2
4.22%
2.08%
0.51%
0.08%
3
0.66%
0.33%
0.08%
0.01%
Burnley
1-017.96%
2-04.22%
2-12.08%
3-00.66%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-038.18%
1-18.85%
2-20.51%
Millwall
0-118.80%
0-24.63%
1-22.18%
0-30.76%
1-30.36%