Stoke City at Swansea City

Updated

Stoke City

26.9%26.5%46.7%
Stoke City WinDrawSwansea City Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.45
0Final Score 3

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+185
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield+105
W 2-0 at Hull City+295
L 3-0 vs Norwich City+155
W 2-1 at Preston North End+205
Swansea City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Middlesbrough+325
L 1-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+155
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+180
W 0-2 vs Cardiff City+100
L 0-1 at Bristol City+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+201+174+170+178+178+168+178+188.9
Swansea City+144+164+155+133+157+141+164+159.8
Draw+235+237+225+245+241+245+245+271.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+225---+155+175+175+188.9
Swansea City+145---+165+165+165+159.8
Draw+200---+180+225+225+271.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +178 to +168
Swansea City ML moved from +170 to +164

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +175 to +165
Swansea City ML moved from +175 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-106o2½-122o2½-120o2½-121o2½-118o2½-121o2½-118o2½-110
Underu2½-110u2½+104u2½+100u2½+101u2½+100u2½+101u2½+104u2½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-110
Under-----u2½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.43%
Exactly 225.78%
Exactly 413.15%
Exactly 62.68%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.84%
Exactly 321.26%
Exactly 56.51%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 035.75%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.92%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 023.57%
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 311.86%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 51.24%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.81%
Exactly 220.87%
Exactly 42.28%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.97%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 062.11%
Exactly 129.58%
Exactly 27.05%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 051.22%
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 211.46%
Exactly 32.56%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals9.89%
Wins by 3+ goals2.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals22.82%
Wins by 3+ goals8.77%
Wins by 4+ goals2.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal16.92%
Wins by 2 goals7.12%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals14.05%
Wins by 3 goals6.07%
Wins by 4 goals2.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.55%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.57%8.43%
1.570.73%29.27%
2.544.95%55.05%
3.523.68%76.32%
4.510.54%89.46%
5.54.03%95.97%
6.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.25%35.75%
1.527.48%72.52%
2.58.57%91.43%
3.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.43%23.57%
1.542.36%57.64%
2.517.75%82.25%
3.55.89%94.11%
4.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.19%31.81%
1.531.76%68.24%
2.510.89%89.11%
3.52.92%97.08%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score012345
0
8.43%
12.18%
8.80%
4.24%
1.53%
0.44%
1
8.67%
12.53%
9.05%
4.36%
1.58%
0.46%
2
4.46%
6.44%
4.66%
2.24%
0.81%
0.23%
3
1.53%
2.21%
1.60%
0.77%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.39%
0.57%
0.41%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-08.67%
2-04.46%
2-16.44%
3-01.53%
3-12.21%
3-21.60%
4-00.39%
4-10.57%
4-20.41%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-08.43%
1-112.53%
2-24.66%
3-30.77%
Swansea City
0-112.18%
0-28.80%
1-29.05%
0-34.24%
1-34.36%
2-32.24%
0-41.53%
1-41.58%
2-40.81%
3-40.28%
0-50.44%
1-50.46%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score01234
0
31.81%
21.28%
7.12%
1.59%
0.27%
1
15.15%
10.14%
3.39%
0.76%
0.13%
2
3.61%
2.41%
0.81%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.57%
0.38%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-015.15%
2-03.61%
2-12.41%
3-00.57%
3-10.38%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.81%
1-110.14%
2-20.81%
Swansea City
0-121.28%
0-27.12%
1-23.39%
0-31.59%
1-30.76%
2-30.18%
0-40.27%
1-40.13%