Birmingham City at Stoke City

Updated

Birmingham City

48.9%26.4%24.7%
Birmingham City WinDrawStoke City Win
1.47Projected Goals 0.96
0Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Leicester City+195
W 0-1 vs Oxford United-205
W 2-1 at Blackburn+135
T 1-1 vs Ipswich Town+160
W 0-1 vs Norwich City+135
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs West Bromwich Albion+155
W 2-1 at Southampton+330
W 3-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+115
W 1-3 vs Derby County+120
T 0-0 at Derby County+330

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+131+148+144+139+143+139+148+158.0
Stoke City+205+205+190+191+200+191+205+214.1
Draw+205+224+200+215+217+215+224+240.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+115---+115+150+150+158.0
Stoke City+190---+190+200+200+214.1
Draw+215---+215+215+215+240.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 30.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +149 to +138
Stoke City ML moved from +206 to +200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 30.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML
Stoke City ML moved from +215 to +205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-144o2¼+102o2¼+101o2¼-101o2¼+101o2¼+102o2¼+110
Underu2¼-115u2+122u2¼-122u2¼-121u2¼-119u2¼-121u2¼-119u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.78%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 412.81%
Exactly 62.53%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.37%
Exactly 321.06%
Exactly 56.23%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 022.99%
Exactly 133.80%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 312.17%
Exactly 44.47%
Exactly 51.31%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 038.20%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.69%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.43%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 42.17%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 050.63%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.73%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 064.05%
Exactly 128.53%
Exactly 26.36%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals24.37%
Wins by 3+ goals9.54%
Wins by 4+ goals2.99%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals8.65%
Wins by 3+ goals2.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal24.47%
Wins by 2 goals14.84%
Wins by 3 goals6.55%
Wins by 4 goals2.25%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal16.02%
Wins by 2 goals6.36%
Wins by 3 goals1.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.22%8.78%
1.569.85%30.15%
2.543.87%56.13%
3.522.80%77.20%
4.59.99%90.01%
5.53.76%96.24%
6.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.01%22.99%
1.543.21%56.79%
2.518.36%81.64%
3.56.19%93.81%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.80%38.20%
1.525.03%74.97%
2.57.35%92.65%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.57%32.43%
1.531.05%68.95%
2.510.49%89.51%
3.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
8.78%
8.45%
4.07%
1.30%
0.31%
1
12.91%
12.43%
5.98%
1.92%
0.46%
2
9.49%
9.13%
4.39%
1.41%
0.34%
3
4.65%
4.47%
2.15%
0.69%
0.17%
4
1.71%
1.64%
0.79%
0.25%
0.06%
5
0.50%
0.48%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
Birmingham City
1-012.91%
2-09.49%
2-19.13%
3-04.65%
3-14.47%
3-22.15%
4-01.71%
4-11.64%
4-20.79%
4-30.25%
5-00.50%
5-10.48%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-08.78%
1-112.43%
2-24.39%
3-30.69%
Stoke City
0-18.45%
0-24.07%
1-25.98%
0-31.30%
1-31.92%
2-31.41%
0-40.31%
1-40.46%
2-40.34%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Stoke City
Score0123
0
32.43%
14.45%
3.22%
0.48%
1
22.07%
9.83%
2.19%
0.33%
2
7.51%
3.35%
0.75%
0.11%
3
1.70%
0.76%
0.17%
0.03%
4
0.29%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-022.07%
2-07.51%
2-13.35%
3-01.70%
3-10.76%
3-20.17%
4-00.29%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-032.43%
1-19.83%
2-20.75%
Stoke City
0-114.45%
0-23.22%
1-22.19%
0-30.48%
1-30.33%
2-30.11%
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