Millwall at Sunderland

Updated

Millwall

16.4%22.5%61.1%
WinDrawSunderland Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.81
0Final Score 1

Sunderland

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Stoke City+120
L 0-2 at Leeds United+1400
W 2-1 at Watford+270
L 2-0 vs Bristol City+180
W 1-0 at Derby County+235
Sunderland
Money Line
L 0-3 at Coventry City+170
T 1-1 vs Preston North End-170
W 1-2 vs Cardiff City-180
W 2-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+155
L 1-0 vs Hull City-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+420+467+440+400+471+400+471+440.4
Sunderland-150-147-150-147-159-147-147-122.5
Draw+250+272+245+250+269+250+272+278.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+490---+440+500+500+440.4
Sunderland-155----175-155-155-122.5
Draw+265---+230+260+260+278.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Sunderland: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +460 to +440
Sunderland ML moved from -153 to -161

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sunderland: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Sunderland: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 50.0%
Sunderland: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +490 to +475
Sunderland ML moved from -165 to -175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2-133o2¼+105o2-133o2¼+103o2-133o2-133o2-122
Underu2¼-122u2+113u2¼-125u2+113u2¼-125u2+113u2¼-125u2+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-122
Under-----u2+122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.23%
Exactly 224.95%
Exactly 414.34%
Exactly 63.30%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 119.00%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 57.53%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 044.35%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 214.66%
Exactly 33.97%
Exactly 40.81%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Sunderland
Exactly 016.31%
Exactly 129.58%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 316.21%
Exactly 47.35%
Exactly 52.66%
Exactly 60.81%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.64%
Exactly 221.91%
Exactly 42.70%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 38.88%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 068.63%
Exactly 125.83%
Exactly 24.86%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sunderland
Exactly 043.19%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.22%
Exactly 34.26%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals4.92%
Wins by 3+ goals1.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Sunderland
Wins by 2+ goals35.56%
Wins by 3+ goals16.64%
Wins by 4+ goals6.37%
Wins by 5+ goals2.03%
Wins by 6+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Sunderland
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal11.42%
Wins by 2 goals3.80%
Wins by 3 goals0.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Sunderland
Wins by 1 goal25.48%
Wins by 2 goals18.93%
Wins by 3 goals10.26%
Wins by 4 goals4.35%
Wins by 5 goals1.50%
Wins by 6 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.77%7.23%
1.573.76%26.24%
2.548.81%51.19%
3.526.97%73.03%
4.512.63%87.37%
5.55.10%94.90%
6.51.80%98.20%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.65%44.35%
1.519.59%80.41%
2.54.93%95.07%

Total Goals Sunderland Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.69%16.31%
1.554.11%45.89%
2.527.29%72.71%
3.511.09%88.91%
4.53.74%96.26%
5.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.36%29.64%
1.534.31%65.69%
2.512.40%87.60%
3.53.52%96.48%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Sunderland
Score012345
0
7.23%
13.12%
11.89%
7.19%
3.26%
1.18%
1
5.88%
10.67%
9.67%
5.84%
2.65%
0.96%
2
2.39%
4.34%
3.93%
2.38%
1.08%
0.39%
3
0.65%
1.17%
1.07%
0.64%
0.29%
0.11%
4
0.13%
0.24%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Millwall
1-05.88%
2-02.39%
2-14.34%
3-00.65%
3-11.17%
3-21.07%
4-00.13%
4-10.24%
4-20.22%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.23%
1-110.67%
2-23.93%
3-30.64%
Sunderland
0-113.12%
0-211.89%
1-29.67%
0-37.19%
1-35.84%
2-32.38%
0-43.26%
1-42.65%
2-41.08%
3-40.29%
0-51.18%
1-50.96%
2-50.39%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Sunderland
Score012345
0
29.64%
24.89%
10.45%
2.92%
0.61%
0.10%
1
11.16%
9.37%
3.93%
1.10%
0.23%
0.04%
2
2.10%
1.76%
0.74%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-011.16%
2-02.10%
2-11.76%
3-00.26%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-029.64%
1-19.37%
2-20.74%
Sunderland
0-124.89%
0-210.45%
1-23.93%
0-32.92%
1-31.10%
2-30.21%
0-40.61%
1-40.23%
0-50.10%