Derby County at Wrexham

Updated

Derby County

25.1%25.1%49.8%
Derby County WinDrawWrexham Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.59
1Final Score 1

Wrexham

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Preston North End+135
W 1-0 at West Bromwich Albion+400
T 2-2 at Ipswich Town+640
T 1-1 vs Bristol City+205
L 5-3 vs Coventry City+205
Wrexham
Money Line
W 3-2 at Norwich City+280
L 3-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+105
W 2-0 at Millwall+255
T 2-2 vs Sheffield Wednesday-170
L 3-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+246+258+245+225+242+225+258+251.9
Wrexham+116+112+102+114+112+114+114+131.7
Draw+247+245+235+225+237+225+245+251.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+260---+235+260+260+251.9
Wrexham+115---+100+115+115+131.7
Draw+225---+205+225+225+251.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Wrexham: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Wrexham: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 10.0%
Wrexham: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +247 to +236
Wrexham ML moved from +114 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Wrexham: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Wrexham: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Wrexham: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
No Steam Moves On Wrexham ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+108o2½+118o2¼-118o2¼-120o2¼-113o2¼-120o2¼-113o2¼-109
Underu2½-127u2½-138u2¼-102u2¼+100u2¼-107u2¼+100u2½-138u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130----o2-135o2-135o2¼-109
Underu2+110----u2+115u2+115u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.16%
Exactly 224.89%
Exactly 414.42%
Exactly 63.34%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.87%
Exactly 321.87%
Exactly 57.61%
Exactly 71.26%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 034.99%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Wrexham
Exactly 020.46%
Exactly 132.46%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 313.62%
Exactly 45.40%
Exactly 51.71%
Exactly 60.45%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.50%
Exactly 221.98%
Exactly 42.73%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 136.01%
Exactly 38.95%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 061.49%
Exactly 129.90%
Exactly 27.27%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Wrexham
Exactly 047.97%
Exactly 135.24%
Exactly 212.94%
Exactly 33.17%
Exactly 40.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals9.26%
Wins by 3+ goals2.61%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Wrexham
Wins by 2+ goals25.93%
Wins by 3+ goals10.75%
Wins by 4+ goals3.63%
Wins by 5+ goals1.02%
Wins by 6+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Wrexham
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal15.78%
Wins by 2 goals6.65%
Wins by 3 goals2.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Wrexham
Wins by 1 goal23.85%
Wins by 2 goals15.18%
Wins by 3 goals7.11%
Wins by 4 goals2.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.79%
Wins by 6 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.84%7.16%
1.573.97%26.03%
2.549.08%50.92%
3.527.21%72.79%
4.512.79%87.21%
5.55.18%94.82%
6.51.84%98.16%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.01%34.99%
1.528.27%71.73%
2.58.98%91.02%
3.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Wrexham Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.54%20.46%
1.547.08%52.92%
2.521.32%78.68%
3.57.70%92.30%
4.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.50%29.50%
1.534.49%65.51%
2.512.51%87.49%
3.53.56%96.44%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Wrexham
Score012345
0
7.16%
11.36%
9.01%
4.77%
1.89%
0.60%
1
7.52%
11.93%
9.46%
5.01%
1.99%
0.63%
2
3.95%
6.26%
4.97%
2.63%
1.04%
0.33%
3
1.38%
2.19%
1.74%
0.92%
0.37%
0.12%
4
0.36%
0.58%
0.46%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
Derby County
1-07.52%
2-03.95%
2-16.26%
3-01.38%
3-12.19%
3-21.74%
4-00.36%
4-10.58%
4-20.46%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-07.16%
1-111.93%
2-24.97%
3-30.92%
Wrexham
0-111.36%
0-29.01%
1-29.46%
0-34.77%
1-35.01%
2-32.63%
0-41.89%
1-41.99%
2-41.04%
3-40.37%
0-50.60%
1-50.63%
2-50.33%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Wrexham
Score01234
0
29.50%
21.67%
7.96%
1.95%
0.36%
1
14.34%
10.54%
3.87%
0.95%
0.17%
2
3.49%
2.56%
0.94%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.57%
0.42%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Derby County
1-014.34%
2-03.49%
2-12.56%
3-00.57%
3-10.42%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-029.50%
1-110.54%
2-20.94%
Wrexham
0-121.67%
0-27.96%
1-23.87%
0-31.95%
1-30.95%
2-30.23%
0-40.36%
1-40.17%